Why Economic Models Can’t Provide a Realistic Picture of Human Behavior
In many instances the forecast produced by an econometric model is heavily influenced by…
Continue readingConsumer spending
Fed Can’t Put Inflation Genie Back in the Bottle
The Fed is betting the house on inflation being transitory…
Continue readingBiden Wants to Lead the World to Less Freedom
Weakness in the Russell 2000 shows recovery is happening outside the US. Biden and Yellen push for collusion through global tax cartel…
Continue readingSTIMULUS AND CONSUMERS ARE THE KEYS TO FURTHER ECONOMIC RECOVERY
The new $1.9 Trillion COVID relief effort may begin to push the US economy further into overdrive, and possibly pushing the…
Continue readingGOLD: Wrong Measurement, Wrong Macro Call
Everyone knows the music will stop playing at some point, and only those who have a chair will be safe…
Continue readingHalloween 2020: Annual Expenditure Drops By 10%, Lowest In 4 Years
We can expect that for this coming 2020 Halloween, a lot of adjustments will have to be made…
Continue readingThe Next Leg Down: The Top 10% Are About to Take a Hit
No federal bailout or stimulus can reverse these three dynamics, and no amount of legerdemain can replace the spending of the top 10%…
Continue readingSECOND PHASE REAL ESTATE COLLAPSE PENDING, PART II
The rest of 2020 and most of 2021 may continue to prove very challenging for homeowners and people attempting to move out of urban areas…
Continue readingDesperate Times Call For Desperate Measures: Anything to Keep Housing Bubble Prices Higher?
How is the US economy recovering with more consumer spending when many Americans have skipped their mortgage payments for 3 or 4 months?
Continue readingQuit PLAYING Around! The CORRECTION In Silver’s Price IS NOW…Blink And You May MISS It!
To nobody’s surprise, silver’s finally got its meaningful “pullback”, but it’s not likely to last long or cut very deep…
Continue readingConsumer Spending Will Not Rebound…Here’s Why
Any economy that concentrates its wealth and income in the top tier is a fragile economy…
Continue readingThe Enemy Of The United States Has Been Relocated From Russia To China
An enemy is what funds America’s largest industry—military spending—and an enemy provides a national security focus which holds our tower of babel…
Continue reading18 Signs That We Are Facing A Record Breaking Economic Implosion In 2020
Anyone that was hoping for a quick “return to normal” can forget it, because “normal” is about to be completely redefined…
Continue readingWith Cheap-Credit Boosted Demand in Free-Fall, What’s the Upside of Re-Opening Small Business?
Since superfluous demand was the core driver of most consumer spending, and that demand is in free-fall, what’s the upside of re-opening?
Continue readingWhy Bad GDP Metrics Lead to Bad Policy
The flawed and misleading GDP measure leads politicians to favor destructive policies. Here’s why…
Continue readingAmericans Are Back To Using Their Home Prices As ATMs: Most Cash Pulled Out in 12 Years!
Americans just withdrew a collective $36 billion in home equity, the highest amount in nearly 12 years. Here’s more…
Continue readingThe Destruction Of Civilization: Implications Of Extreme Monetary Interventions
“…safe investment options gone, they are only left with the option of speculating in rigged financial markets, and the massive risk that comes with it, especially…”
Continue readingCONSUMER DISCRETIONARY AND CORPORATE BONDS ON VERGE OF SELL-OFF
The stock market continues to push new highs, but the foundation of the global markets continues to weaken…
Continue readingGold & Silver Shrug Off “Expectation Exceeding” October Retail Sales Report
After a drop in retail sales in September, October retail sales only increased by 0.3%. Here are the details…
Continue readingPeak In Consumer Confidence Signals Peak In The Stock Market?
In these environments, gold is poised to outperform the S&P 500. Here’s why…
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