Steve St Angelo explains how the debt of the shale industry is decimating profits, which has bought on new problems in servicing the debt…
The massive debt accumulated by the U.S. Shale Industry is now decimating company profits. As company debts and interest rates rise, these shale producers interest expense also continues to increase. Debt service is not only cutting into company profits, but it also takes a great deal of oil and gas production to cover this expense.
For example, 16 of the top U.S. shale energy companies racked up a hefty $5 billion interest payment. The company with the highest annual interest expense is Anadarko Energy at a stunning $932 million in 2017:
Devon Energy came in a distant second at $514 million while Chesapeake took the third spot at $425 million. The 16 shale energy companies shown on the right-hand side of the chart are listed from highest to lowest annual interest expense for 2017. And, it is a simple rule-of-thumb that the higher the annual interest expense, the higher overall debt on the company’s balance sheet.
Anadarko has such a high annual interest expense ($932 million) because it holds over $15 billion in debt. Devon Energy had the second highest interest expense in 2017 due to its $10+ billion in debt. However, Devon has recently sold assets and paid down its debt and lowered its interest expense considerably. Furthermore, Chesapeake is paying $425 million a year to service its $9+ billion in debt.
It is quite remarkable that these 16 shale energy companies forked out $5 billion to service their debt last year. The debt service is an expense that impacts the company’s net income profits.
For example, Anadarko posted a loss of $456 million in 2017. However, they paid $932 million in interest expense last year. If Anadarko didn’t have an interest expense, their $456 million loss would have been a $479 million net income profit. So, these 16 companies lost $5 billion in potential profits because they have to service their skyrocketing debts.
Now, if we look at how much energy that needs to be produced just to cover these companies interest expense, it is a huge amount. Just to pay off a $5 billion interest expense payment, these shale companies had to produce 100 million barrels of oil at $50 a barrel (approximate price these companies received in 2017).
Let me tell you, 100 million barrels is a tremendous amount of oil. It turns out to be roughly 20 days worth of total U.S. shale oil production at 5 million barrels per day. Which means, these shale energy companies had to produce nearly one month supply of total U.S. shale oil production to cover the annual interest payment last year.
What happens when U.S. shale oil production begins to finally decline while the interest expense rises or stays the same??? That’s correct, these companies’ interest expense will become an ever-increasing burden for the U.S. Shale Industry.
Watch over the next 1-2 years as U.S. shale oil production peaks and declines. This will mark the end of the notion of U.S. Energy Independence forever.
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