PEAK TRUMP: DO NOT Get Caught Off-Guard Because BIG CHANGES Are Coming To The U.S.

Not just saying, but showing, why we are at Peak Trump. Things are about to change in the economy and the markets. Here’s the details…

People won’t like what I’m about to say.

It’s neither pro-Trump or anti-Trump.

In fact, it has nothing to do with the left, the right, Conservatives, MSM propaganda, or anything like that.

None of that stuff matters with what I’m about to say.

I have just come to an understanding of what is going on in the nation.

I guess it’s that I’ve given up watching movies, watching television, watching sports, and doing all of those pop-culture time consuming things that affords me the opportunity to see things before others do.

It’s that “Ah-ha” moment when the light-bulb turns on inside the head.

Hey, “Half Dollar, you really need to get a life!”.

Well, sorry, I can barely stomach two minutes of television, and I can stand even less of the even more tightly controlled DeepState/Globalist/CIA propaganda machine otherwise known as Hollywood.

It’s much easier to control a handful of movies a year than thousands of radio and television stations around the world broadcasting 24/7.

But I digress.

We all need to understand what’s coming down the pike in the United States.

We are at Peak Trump.

That’s my theory, and I’ll explain what it is, why we’re there, and what it means moving forward.

Peak Trump is the point where the most amount of people believe in all the good things the President is doing for the nation. It’s a kind of optimism that is sweeping the nation, and it’s a kind of hope that has got people thinking that good times are just around the corner.

And there’s plenty of flavors to choose from.

There’s something for everyone, and this is why Peak Trump has swept across the nation and drawn so many Americans in.

Belief in any one of these things is probably enough to contribute to Peak Trump (this isn’t all the flavors, but to make the point):

  • The economy is booming
  • We’re getting tough on immigration
  • All the corrupt Traitors are going to be brought to justice and thrown into GITMO
  • The swamp is being drained
  • We’re getting rid of big government and government over-reach
  • We’re kickin’ diplomatic butt around the world

Now here’s the thing – Since it’s a peak, and since we’re there right now, this means that what is coming is the great unwinding of Peak Trump.

It’s the fade back from optimism to pessimism.

It’s the evening thunderstorm coming after a bright, sunny day.

It’s a loss of hope and the acceptance of that loss.

You see, little by little, those who make up Peak Trump will realize:

  • The economy is not booming but getting worse
  • Immigration is even more of a mess than can be fixed on the President’s watch
  • The corrupt Traitors are not being brought to justice
  • The swamp is not being drained
  • Government is growing, it’s not getting smaller, and the government is only more all up in our business and in our faces
  • We were coming up on a peace cycle anyway after nearly two decades of non-stop war

I can argue why this is the case, and why this is bad news for the direction of the United States (with exception of the last one), but for now that is beyond the scope of this article.

This is, after all, a Midweek Update, and a very important one that everybody needs to understand so nobody is caught off guard when these shifts occur from good times to dark days.

So, since I’m an expert in the markets, I’ll focus on the economy part of Peak Trump.

And let’s drill down into that one a little further, shall we?

Specifically, there’s a number of sub-beliefs that can qualify a person as being part of Peak Trump:

  • We’re winning the Trade Wars
  • We’re bringing all these jobs and manufacturing back
  • The tax cuts are a boom to the economy

Again, the unwind happens when little by little, people realize:

  • We’re taking a hit because of the Trade Wars
  • The jobs and manufacturing are not coming back
  • Inflation, the Trade Wars and stagnant wages have negated all effects of a tax cut so we’re still falling behind in our standards of living.

Let’s drill down even further with some evidence of Peak Trump.

The President himself is the Chief Promoter of this belief system that has brought us to this point in American History.

See for yourself (this out-of-the-blue from just yesterday):

Ok, “But Half Dollar, that’s just one Tweet, and he just says things like that to be bombastic!”.

Nice word choice there.


I’ll see your bombastic, and I’ll raise you seven.

Here goes (in reverse chronological order):

That’s hardly all of them, and I skipped a plenty.

I could go on and on.

What is it they say that happens when your repeat something over and over?

And over?

And over?

And over?

OK, “But Half Dollar, you’re just using the President’s Twitter to prove your point, and that’s pretty weak because we all know he’s got an ego and he’s tooting his own horn as we all do. We’re all biased towards ourselves!”.

Ok then.

Those are fair points.

Let’s look at Peak Trump a different way.

And something totally not “Fake News” as President Trump would say.

Just to prove my point.

I think we can all agree that Greg Hunter is not Fake News.

So here goes.

Presenting Peak Trump:

OK, “Whatever Half Dollar. That only goes back one month!”.


Call me out.

I can take it back more if you’d like:


It doesn’t matter.

It’s a peak.

That is, a build-up, a peak (or top), which is where we are right now, and then a let-down.

This is important: We are about to be let-down.

Who’s to blame?

It doesn’t matter.

It’s not the left, or the right, or the Deep State, or the MSM.

It’s ourselves.

We have let ourselves buy into the fact that the Titanic doesn’t sink.

News flash: It sinks.

America is the Titanic.

Friends (and trolls, because knowledge is power), I’m telling you that we’re at Peak Trump.

And I highlighted gold references on those Greg Hunter screenshots, to explain why it matters.

As you can see with the number of views, the opposite of Peak Trump is a bottom in gold.

And it’s a shame, really.

Because we know for a fact that President Trump is a Gold Bug:

There’s the “art of the deal” right there.

Made in gold.

He knows.

You see, if he really wanted to make a change for the better, well, we all know what happened to JFK.

JFK put country before self.

So the question then becomes, does President Trump really put the Constitution before himself?

I mean, he did capitulate on that whole Trump Putin Summit thing and yield to the Deep State intelligence agencies:

So he obviously will “play along” with the Deep State.

I know, “friends close and enemies closer”.

Oh, yeah, “trust the plan”.

But there will come a point where the people have used up all available hope and optimism, and that’s when the declines really begin.

Hope and optimism are finite resources, especially when it comes to Peak Trump and a nation that is ethically, financially, morally, physically, and spiritually bankrupt.

This has HUGE implications for the markets.

It means the stock market is coming down, the dollar is plummeting, and gold and silver will rise in price.

It means job losses, recession, and a government debt crisis.

It’s like watching a movie where everybody dies in the end.

Those leave you with a sunken feeling.

And I know, I don’t watch movies nowadays, but I’ve seen some of those in the past.

But I digress.

This is important so let me rephrase it: When all of this optimism and hope turns into pessimism and reality, we will see the shifts in the economy and markets.

When will this happen?

I don’t know.

Mid-term elections?

I don’t know.

Presidential election in 2020?

I don’t know.

And one final point – it doesn’t matter whether President Trump is or is not a Patriot. Or those who say he’s a puppet, it doesn’t matter whether he is or is not a puppet.

He can’t save America.

It is too late.

When more people succumb to this reality than those who are optimistic and hopeful, that’s when the markets turn.

Hey, “You have a really depressing outlook on life Half Dollar”.

Not really.

There is no gracefully, diplomatically, or in President Trump style, brute-forcefully fixing America.

Great pain is coming, and I only hope and pray that after it comes, the Constitution survives and makes it through to the other side, in tact and finally followed.

That’s the only thing that can fix this nation, but again, no need for politics and certainly no need for a rant.

I’m just trying to make it very clear what is coming.

In four words: A big let-down.

That’s what’s coming next.

The let down will spill over into the economy and the markets.

The stock market bubble will finally pop, the dollar will resume its decline, gold and silver will rise in price, and that’s the rosy scenario.

The ugly scenario is civil unrest, disorder and chaos, and that leads us down the dark path to Civil War II.

Best to come to terms with the understanding of what’s coming, again, so as not be be caught off guard.

For example, sell that stack?

Heck no!

Moving on.

The gold to silver ratio is still going sideways:

This is right in line with as forecast.

Can it go higher?

Yes, but I really don’t think too much higher and not mid-80s again.

We’ll see.

In part because gold has broken a major trend-line and now lost support:

Look at that increasing volume however!

The cartel really has to keep the paper flowing to keep gold in check.

So gold could fall more here.

But silver could also fall more here too:

Plenty of room to run to the downside in the white metal.

That is why I don’t think the ratio will get into the mid-80s, because the charts are showing that both metals could keep falling, more or less keeping the GSR in the range of, call it 78-80.

Here’s the standard gold daily chart:

Yesterday I said get ready for a 52-week low, and we’re there.

Silver dropped again overnight and looks to be headed lower today:

Yes they will reverse.

But remember – Peak Trump.

Palladium has been the only precious metal more or less hanging on:

That’s not saying much, however.

Platinum, well, yeah:

I lost count of the lower-highs and lower-lows.

I think we’re at nine?

Copper stopped puking and is now dry heaving:

We’re right at the point of hitting 52-week lows in copper, however.

We’ll probably get there.

I had warned about crude oil when it started the latest run-up:

Maybe someone can find the post?

I said I didn’t like that run-up because it looked to much like it was following copper’s playbook.

And sure enough.

Now, I have been calling the next things “farces”.

But now that I am understanding more and more that it’s Peak Trump, it is starting to make more sense.

Granted, this is manipulation indifferent.

Manipulation in the context of Peak Trump is like “which came first, the chicken or the egg”.

My point Peak Trump is apart and different from the manipulation, but it does factor into the manipulation.


Simple – Peak trump affects the inputs.

That is to say, how frequent and how severe do the manipulations need to be?

That said, what I have called “farces” are clearly seen now as the product of Peak Trump.

There’s the VIX:

Yeah, aside form the self-doubt earlier in the year, why would the markets not be at peak complacency?

I mean, that is the bi-product of optimism and hope, right?

There’s the yield on the 10-Year Note:

You know what I think of when I look at the yield on the 10-year in relation to Peak Trump?

Well, this:

Markets In Bliss

It’s not to little and not too much but just right.

Finally, when we look at the dollar and the stock market, we can really see some Peak Trump dynamics at play.

First, the Heartbeat of America Index:

You see, like with anything that peaks, it’s a build-up, and especially in markets, there’s also this thing called climbing the “wall of worry”.

It’s not like January 20th, 2017 and all of the sudden everybody who made up part of Peak Trump was already decided.


Some were believers from the start, and other became believers after relating in some way to what the President has done, said, or what was said or done against him.

But here we are.

Peak Trump.

It can also be seen in the dollar:

After falling throughout 2017, as more and more believers came on board, we see what happened since late January’s stabilization.

And, oh yeah.

Before I forget.

What ever happened to Mnuchin?

Did he get lost in Fort Knox?

Or maybe he’s gone back to Hollywood to whip up some special effects for the dollar?

Ah, neither here nor there.

Peak Trump

It’s real.

Stack accordingly…

– Half Dollar


About the Author

U.S. Army Iraq War Combat Veteran Paul “Half Dollar” Eberhart has an AS in Information Systems and Security from Western Technical College and a BA in Spanish from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Paul dived into gold & silver in 2009 as a natural progression from the prepper community. He is self-studied in the field of economics, an active amateur trader, and a Silver Bug at heart.

Paul’s free book Gold & Silver 2.0: Tales from the Crypto can be found in the usual places like Amazon, Apple iBooks & Google Play, or online at Paul’s Twitter is @Paul_Eberhart.