Chris says the first leg of the upside move in stocks appears nearly completed, and here’s where Chris says the stock market is headed next…
Near December 21, 2018, our research team began a series of posts indicating the US Major Indexes should be set up for the “Ultimate Bottom” low that we suggested would take place after the US Elections (November 2018) and which would launch an upside price rally. Today, we are writing to announce that the first leg of this upside move appears to be nearly completed.
It is critical to mention here that as of only a day go the short-term market trend from a technical standpoint has turned up. So, getting long before this point would be trying to catch a bottom which is tough and risky to do. The good news is that we are expecting a second leg higher after we get some rotation to the downside.
Using our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system, we can see that the current prices of the ES and NQ are very near to the immediate Fibonacci Price Target Zone. You will see from the following charts that both the ES and NQ are already within this zone and/or very near to what we believe will be immediate resistance. This means we should expect a bit of price rotation near these levels before another upside leg takes place driving prices higher.
This first Daily ES chart shows the Fibonacci Target Zone clearly in Green. You can see how price has rallied up to near this level and may even rally a bit further before rotating downward a bit. Remember, price rotation in a trend is very healthy for normal markets. When price moves extensively in one direction or another is somewhat unhealthy and dangerous. When price moves up or down in rotating waves or price cycles, this is a very healthy means for the price to establish support/resistance and to wash out groups of traders that may be biased in the markets.
This Daily NQ chart shows a very similar, although more narrow, Fibonacci Target Zone. The result is virtually the same as the ES chart. Price should attempt to establish some resistance within this zone and the potential for a downside price rotation increases near this level. We are expecting a downward price move, possibly toward the BLUE Fibonacci downside target square level, before the price rally resumes to drive prices above recent highs and into the next leg higher.
If you have followed our analysis, on September 17, 2018, we predicted 4~5 months into the future what would likely happen. Our call for an “Ultimate Low” price reversal after the Nov 2018 elections appears to be setting up perfectly. Although we did not predict this extreme low price level in that research post, the overall expectations we had in September were nearly perfect.
If the remainder of our analysis continues to play out as accurately, we should be setting up for a very big move to the upside over the next couple of months. It will likely be paired with decent earnings data from the US, moderately strong economic data and the resulting economic improvements of a China Trade Deal and the resolution to the US Government Shutdown. The issues in Europe are set to reach a peak somewhere near March or April 2019. We expect the US markets to be trading several percents higher by that time.
Pay attention to these markets moves. 2019 is poised to be a very exciting and profitable year for skilled traders and wise investors. Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to get our daily and weekly analysis forecast complete with long term investing swing trading, and index day trade signals.
53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our index, stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.
Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic
Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.
His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.
He has also been on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and featured in Futures Magazine, Gold-Eagle, Safe Haven,The Street, Kitco, Financial Sense, Dick Davis Investment Digest and dozens of other financial websites.
Disclaimer: This material should not be considered investment advice. Technical Traders Ltd. and its staff are not registered investment advisors. Under no circumstances should any content from websites, articles, videos, seminars, books or emails from Technical Traders Ltd. or its affiliates be used or interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or commodity contract. Our advice is not tailored to the needs of any subscriber so talk with your investment advisor before making trading decisions. Invest at your own risk. I may or may not have positions in any security mentioned at any time and maybe buy sell or hold said security at any time.