Comparing Today’s Gold Market to the 1970’s: Is the Gold Rush Over?

gold rushLots of people are comparing today’s gold market to the 1970’s.  Gold shot up to nearly $200 per ounce and crashed 9 months later to near $100 an ounce.  Of course, gold had an historic rise to $85 per ounce after that wicked pull-back.  Some, such as economist Nouriel Roubini, say “the gold rush is over,” and the seventies are not going to repeat.  The debt of today is greater by orders of magnitude from the 1970’s, and there is no end in sight.  That means gold has only one way to go (in the long term) and that’s up.  
We had a national debt of less than $1 trillion when Jimmy Carter left office.  Today, it is nearly $17 trillion, and the so-called debt ceiling is going to need to be raised–again.  Debt in the U.S government is exploding.  So is debt in the rest of the Western World, just look at Europe and Japan.
Derivatives were virtually nonexistent back the 1970’s.  Today, the official total of these debt bets is around $700 trillion, and some say it’s more than twice that much.  Pensions didn’t have funding problems back then.  Today, they are at least $1 trillion dollars in the red.  You can say the same thing for student debt—also $1 trillion in the hole.

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