There’s been lots of talk about a second civil war, but looking at the action in the dollar and the metals tells a different story. Here’s the details…
Is the United States really on the brink of civil war?
Which I’m sure the trendies are calling Civil War 2.0, as if war was somehow cool.
I don’t think so.
Or at least things aren’t as deadly serious as they sound.
First, a little history.
If we rewind to the actual Civil War, the Confederate States printed their own money.
And it became worthless after the war.
Here’s an example from the late stage of the Civil War in 1864:
You can now find it on eBay.
(I just took a screen shot of it and cropped out the holder)
Just like those $100 Trillion Zimbabwe dollars, the Confederate States dollars now have value as historical collector’s items.
Side Note: That was $1 – Confederate.
If you had 1 actual U.S. dollar in 1864, what would it be?
It would have been a dollar coin, made of silver.
Minted in accordance with the Coinage Act of 1792.
See, here is an example right here:
Here’s a question: When a nation is a war with itself, what happens to its currency?
We saw what happened to the Confederate dollars.
Here’s the short answer: The currency goes down the toilet.
Didn’t Turkey have a “coup” a couple of years back?
Couple that with internal social and political tensions, a purge of professors, journalists and other political ‘dissenters’, and what happened to the lira?
What is going on in Iran right now with all the protests?
And what is happening to the rial?
What about Venezuela?
Sure, these are not civil wars in the strict definition of civil war, but they prove my point even more.
In those nations, you have political and social turmoil, but not outright civil war.
And the currencies are plummeting.
The natives don’t want those currencies, and neither does anybody in the foreign exchange markets.
Here’s a question: What would happen to the “safe haven” US dollar if the US were in outright civil war?
Would people be rushing to buy up dollars?
But they are.
The dollar surged again just yesterday:
And what has happened to gold & silver over the last several days:
So the talk about civil war is getting louder and louder, yet the dollar is rising and gold & silver are falling.
There must be one of two things going on here.
First, either nobody in the United States believes there will be another civil war, at least those with any savings and the intelligence to protect those savings.
Or, secondly, the picture painted by the MSM propaganda machine throughout the rest of the world is that the U.S. is booming economically, call it a new renaissance, and it’s only the divide and conquer strategy that is pointed inward on ourselves, and we’re oblivious to this fact.
If the second point is true, we’re being duped.
We’re being played.
Call it what you want, but what is perceived as happening on the inside is different than what is perceived as happening when looking in from the outside.
Sure, the incidents are real – the heckling, the confrontations, the idiocy coming from Maxine Waters’ mouth, and all the Hollywood celebrities turned political activists, that’s all real.
But step back and think about it for a moment.
If the rest of the world thought there was really going to be another civil war in the United States, how can you explain a strengthening dollar?
Actual civil war would be absolutely devastating on infrastructure, who knows how many lives would be lost (the actual Civil War was the deadliest war in our history), property would be destroyed, and the government would be printing up money like there’s no tomorrow.
If you thought the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the following ten years of “emergency” money printing measures were extreme, you ain’t seen nothin’ yet.
Because who would want the safety of dollars, and by extension, US Treasury Bills, Notes and Bonds, if our nation is ravaged with civil war?
Talk about an inflation tsunami.
How would you protect yourself?
How would you safeguard any savings, any wealth?
You would protect yourself the way people all over the world have done so for thousands of years – with gold & silver.
But gold and silver are plummeting right now.
So that doesn’t make sense either.
Is there really going to be another civil war?
For now, the debt-based fiat dollar, gold and silver aren’t buying it.
Now, if they do start buying it, then it’s about to get real.
And deadly serious.
– Half Dollar
About the Author
U.S. Army Iraq War Combat Veteran Paul “Half Dollar” Eberhart has an AS in Information Systems and Security from Western Technical College and a BA in Spanish from The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Paul dived into gold & silver in 2009 as a natural progression from the prepper community. He is self-studied in the field of economics, an active amateur trader, and a Silver Bug at heart.