launch-rocketFor the funds, this is a very dangerous situation, and one that could produce a violent move higher in the gold price at a time when that seems impossible.
Gold bugs should pay attention to current commercial trader liquidity flows, which suggest that a major gold price rally is either imminent, or already underway!

trump-goldGold has a cyclical tendency to decline ahead of a rate hike, and rally after it is announced.
This time, the US election may delay the rally, but create one that is bigger and more sustained than the rally of 2016. Here’s why:

ride-rocket-upGold stocks and silver continue to exhibit substantial strength in the face of the decline in the price of gold.
Is that strength hinting that a substantial rally will follow a Fed rate hike? 

down-fall-smashA US government bond market panic is becoming a potential event that serious money managers will need to think about very carefully.
I would suggest they start thinking about it… NOW.

willieThe next crisis will be a full deleveraging event that involves both public and private assets. I call it the “End Game”.
As it unfolds I expect markets to act more like they did in 1929 than 2008, and end with gold revaluation…

storm-boat-wavesThe world is only hours away from key BOJ and Fed meetings that could create a SEA CHANGE in global markets.
A rate hike from the Fed would create panic in the stock market, and investors would flock to gold, just as they did after the first rate hike in December…

If there is no rate hike next week, GDX should challenge the $32 area highs, and lead bullion higher.
If there is a rate hike, GDX and most gold stocks will likely spike lower while bullion soars higher, in a scenario similar to what happened when Janet hiked in December of 2015.
The good news is that after a very brief decline when Janet hiked last year, gold stocks staged one of the biggest rallies in many years.
If she hikes next week, I expect history to rhyme!

gold-silver-investmentsAgainst gold, gold stocks have been in a bear cycle since 1996.  That cycle appears to be ending now, and its end will be confirmed by an upturn in bank loan profits and money velocity.  A rising oil price floor could be the catalyst that creates the upturn. 
For the Western gold community, good times are here, and great times are near!

fall-plungeThe September and October time-frame is what I call “US stock market crash season”. The worst stock market crashes have historically occurred during these months, and Friday’s jobs report has the potential to create another one.
The PBOC could announce a major yuan devaluation if Janet hikes rates in September, and that could potentially unleash the type of stock market crash that occurred in 1929…

imagesIn regards to gold stocks specifically, I called the 2014 – 2015 period the greatest accumulation zone for any asset in the history of markets. That was a bold statement, and the price action in 2016 is already hinting that my view may be the correct one.
Silver is very responsive to inflationary pressures, and if gold stocks are outperforming silver in a massive way, it’s an indication that inflation may be poised to rise in a MUCH bigger way than most analysts believe is possible…