gold silver ratio

Not everybody is aware that there is a big debate among precious metal investors regarding the importance of silver to protect from the dollar’s demise. We have a similar debate that is better known when it comes to precious metals versus Bitcoin and other virtual currencies.
Many precious metal investors disregard Bitcoin as a proper mean to store wealth and protect from currency crises while at the same time many in the Bitcoin community are not interested in investing in precious metals.
Indeed, I’ve asked that question of who was invested in gold and silver at a recent Bitcoin event and I was somewhat surprised at how few hands raised up.
But this debate among precious metal investors is not known by many and I’d like to bring it up here and at the same time tell you why I personally favor silver over gold, although I think both should be owned in this current environment of dying paper.
Precious metal investors might be grouped in 3 camps:

HarveyOrgan1

Today, we had a huge withdrawal in inventory at the GLD. of 2.1 tonnes.
On the 22nd the LBMA stated that they will no longer publish GOFO rates.

It looks to me like these rates are now fully manipulated. 

asian gold demand

China is still in a holding pattern ready to pounce when needed.
The open interest on silver is  still highly elevated.  Gold has a low OI with a low gold price.  Silver has a high OI with a low silver price.  Something has got to give!!
Let’s head immediately to see the major data points for today…

US gold

Ever since the world suffered a near collapse of its economic and financial system in 2008, investors around the globe have purchased physical gold in increasing volume.  However, if you lived in the United States… the opposite is the case.
Not only did Americans purchase less gold, they ranked DEAD LAST on the planet.

sprott

As part of our weekly webinar series, it was a distinct pleasure and honor to welcome Eric Sprott.
In this wide-ranging, 47-minute discussion, Eric offers his comments and analysis on:

  • Chinese gold demand and the continuing drawdown of the GLD.
  • Market conditions needed to facilitate an expansion of the PHYS and/or PSLV.
  • The mining stocks. Eric also offers his key metrics for evaluating miners that can make it through this current downturn.
  • What mistakes we’ve made over the past three years and how to prepare for the future.
  • The ongoing deviation of the gold: silver from historical norms.

Full MUST LISTEN interview with Eric Sprott is below: 

gold bottom

This bottom may be the longest yet.
This is psychological warfare and does not resemble the true PM physical market at all but it is contrived through manipulation to depress speculation so that physical buyers will stay away from PMs and trust bonds and equities while Ebola and ISIS rip up the daily headlines.
The DOW is off 1,000 points in just a few days, fear of deadly disease or decapitation stories is gripping the news and gold and silver have plummeted?

Does any of this make any sense?  FEAR UP, gold down?
Can you spell M-A-N-I-P-U-L-A-T-I-O-N ?
Stay thirsty for physical, my friends, the day of redemption draws near!

falling-bear

The outlook for gold is now more positive than it has been for some time. After a prolonged period of low volatility as funds invested in ever-greater risk, markets have snapped and volatility has jumped.
In short, we are swinging very suddenly from complacency to reality.

bottom of the barrel

Today’s big news came from China where weekly demand (gold withdrawals) came in at 68.4 tonnes. On a 7 day week this works out to 9.77 tonnes per day The world ex China and ex Russia (the keep all gold produced) produces 6.02 tonnes per day (2200 tonnes per year).
Hot on the heels of a huge importation of gold into India it sure looks like they are scraping the bottom of the barrel for metal.
Let’s head immediately to see what the data has in store for us today.

HarveyOrgan

 China is still in a holding pattern ready to pounce when needed.
The open interest on silver remains highly elevated.  Gold has a low OI with a low gold price.  Silver has a high OI with a low silver price.
Something has got to give!!
Let’s head immediately to see what the data has in store for us today:

HarveyOrgan

The bankers were all over gold and silver today but both metals rebuffed all attempts of containment.
The huge volatility is not too good for our banker derivative friends.
Let’s head immediately to see what the data has in store for us today:

silver smash

Silver investment demand has rocketed from less than 10% of industrial silver demand’s size, to nearly 50% of its size in just 6 short years.   
This is historic.  And it spells biiiiiiiig problems for the “biiiiiiig players”.

launch rocket vertical

In late 2013, I predicted the Fed would taper all the way to zero in 2014, and suggested that taper would turn the Dow into a “wet noodle”, while creating a rally in gold prices. That’s the opposite of what most analysts thought would happen in 2014, and it’s exactly what has transpired.
The risk of a complete global stock market meltdown is growing now. The Fed’s number two man, Stan Fischer, has thrown gas on the fire, by aggressively suggesting the Fed’s next move will be to raise interest rates.
Many investors are assuming the Fed can engineer another huge stock market rally with further easing.  
Instead, what they could experience is something more akin to an economic ice age.