By Stewart Thomson:
Fundamentally, I believe here are 4 major reasons that the long term silver chart looks “ultra-bullish”.
First, the market is probably anticipating a substantial recovery in the Chinese economy, and perhaps additional government stimulus.
Second, the US fiscal cliff is likely to be resolved in a manner that encourages “risk on” institutional investors to take action on the buy-side.
Third, I expect the European Central Bank will announce measures that calm worries about not just Greece, but Spain and Italy, too.
Fourth, while the fiscal cliff will likely be resolved, I think the US Federal Reserve will expand the current level of stimulus being provided by QE3, probably in January, and this action could cause a near-vertical spike in all risk-on markets.
Silver is likely to be the greatest beneficiary of these 4 key events, even if they play out only partially. If they play out as I’m predicting, I would expect silver to blast through the highs at $50, by early in the new year. Silver at $80 is realistic, if these “fab four” events play out well.