gold

Gold had a volatile week, but rose from $1147 last Friday afternoon to a high of $1205 on Tuesday.
On Wednesday the price moved between down $25 on the latest opinion poll on the Swiss referendum, then recovered to $23 before falling again on the release of the Fed’s FOMC minutes.
However, despite these unsettling swings gold rose on the week by about $30 overall, making it two weeks in a row as shown in our first chart.

Caption Contest 1

China’s reasons for accumulating gold.
We now know that China had the resources from its trade surpluses as well as the opportunity to buy bullion.
Heap-leaching techniques boosted mine output and western investors sold down their bullion, so there was ample supply available; but what was China’s motive?

flash smash

Trading in precious metals was quiet until Wednesday morning, when prices began to soften.
When the FOMC meeting released its policy statement at 2.00pm EST, gold and silver responded by falling heavily, with gold breaching the $1200 level Thursday and silver crashing through $17 to a low of $16.33.
Friday morning gold and silver fell further in overnight ahead of the London opening, with gold trading down to $1173 and silver brokw below $16.00.
It is clear that the bears, including the bullion banks with short books, mounted an attack on the $1180 level, where there were stops to take out.

So a major test is taking place and the bears are winning…

smash

In the first half of our new interview with Alasdair Macleod we discuss the November 30th Swiss gold referendum and what it might mean for the Bankster’s central banking Ponzi scheme.
We also discuss Majestic Silver CEO Keith Neumeyer’s move to withhold physical silver sales – and his idea to form an OPEC-like mining cartel to break the back of the paper silver manipulation. 

Alasdair Macleod’s Full interview on BREAKING THE CARTEL is below: 

goose

The behavior of financial markets these days is frankly divorced from reality, with value-investing banished.
Our dysfunctional markets have become little more than the essential prerequisite, as Louis XIV’s finance minister Colbert might have said, to plucking the goose for the largest amount of feathers with the minimum of hissing.

china bank run

In this excellent interview with SGTReport, Alasdair Macleod discusses the latest banker “suicides” which have all of the hallmarks of intelligence agency ‘wet work’.
Alasdair also explains how China could easily have acquired 20,000 tons of gold in recent decades – and as SRS Rocco recently pointed out, an additional 10,000 tons of gold in just the last three years!
Full MUST LISTEN interview is below: 

panic

It has been panic over for the moment in the markets and back to business as usual for precious metals.
However there are signs of good underlying demand for physical gold, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange delivering 68.37 tonnes into public hands over the holiday period (two weeks with only five trading days), and a further 51.5 tonnes last week.
The chart below shows gold withdrawn from the SGE this year, totalling 1,547 tonnes so far, on course for a 1,900 tonne total this year, only 300 tonnes short from the 2013 total:

crash

Since WW2 economic theorists have posited that demand in the economy could be stimulated by a combination of deficit spending by the government and by suppressing interest rates.
The separation of demand from production was promoted by Keynes and interest rate management of the economy by monetarists, though there is considerable overlap between the two. Yet no progress in economic management has been achieved: instead we appear to be on the brink of a major economic dislocation.
Far from banishing the business cycle, it has become worse. To understand why it’s worth looking at the reason the concept is failing.

falling-bear

The outlook for gold is now more positive than it has been for some time. After a prolonged period of low volatility as funds invested in ever-greater risk, markets have snapped and volatility has jumped.
In short, we are swinging very suddenly from complacency to reality.

end badly

Recent evidence points increasingly towards global economic contraction.
Parts of the Eurozone are in great difficulty, and only last weekend S&P the rating agency warned that Greece will default on its debts “at some point in the next fifteen months”.   Japan is collapsing under the wealth-destruction of Abenomics. China is juggling with a debt bubble that threatens to implode. The US tells us through government statistics that their outlook is promising, but the reality is very different with one-third of employable adults not working; furthermore the GDP deflator is significantly greater than officially admitted. And the UK is financially over-geared and over-dependent on a failing Eurozone.
It seems likely that a change in trend for the gold price in western capital markets will be a component part of a wider reset for all financial markets, because it will signal a change in perceptions of risk for bonds and currencies.
With a growing realisation that the great welfare economies are all sliding into a slump, the moment for this reset has moved an important step closer.

crash

In the US, while much is made of an improving jobs scene, the fact remains that in relation to the size of the workforce there is a greater percentage of working-age people not employed since the 50’s era of the male dominated workplace.
This is creating a two-way pull for gold and silver.
Declining commodity prices coupled with a strong dollar have hit both precious metals hard since mid-August with gold falling $130 at worst, and silver having been in continual decline since mid-July.
However, both metals have become oversold and as a result have bounced firmly off support at $1180 and $16.75 respectively. The chart below is of gold from its all-time high and its 200-day moving average.

economic dollar collapse

Iceland’s currency collapse is not an isolated event.  The purchasing power of a fiat currency varies constantly, even to the point of losing it altogether. The truth of the matter is the utility of a fiat currency is entirely dependent on the subjective opinions of individuals expressed through markets, and has nothing to do with a mechanical quantity relationship.
In this respect, merely the potential for unlimited currency issuance or a change in perceptions of the issuer’s financial stability, as Iceland discovered, can be enough to destabilize it.

silver smash

Precious metals have faced adverse weather as evidence mounts that major economies may be sliding into recession.
Silver in particular has been badly mauled, slipping to new lows below $17.
It now stands at one third of the brief high of nearly $50 achieved in April 2011.  
Silver is also very oversold as evidenced in the chart below.  
The managed money category is now so short that they are even net short of silver after their longs are taken into account!