gold noteBy Jim Willie, GoldenJackass.com

The Competing Currency War has reached a new elevated fever pitch, with the major central banks delivering powerful damage to each other while defending themselves. The unintended consequences have been a predictable unfolding of events to the sound money gold crowd, with years of warning and even a label given to the conflict.
It comes as an unwelcome surprise to the mainstream sheeple crowd, still entangled in the paper wealth corner. The process continues, the pathogenesis relentless as paper securities erode in value.

The world is slowly coming to the realization that only a Gold Standard can cure the world of its financial cancer from metastasized paper insecurities. The contact of Silver will cleanse the hand that has held paper since 1971, when the era of modern chronic unsolvable financial crisis was born. That is, unsolvable without a primary role for Gold itself, the despised stable metal. Gold is the ultimate currency.

So the Jackass call is that 2013 will see the US Dollar finally isolated and put in a position for rejection.

 

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Friend of gold Jim Sinclair, and executive to a mining firm with interests in Tanzania, put it so well. He captures the theme of this article when he said, “It is the constant drop in the dollar’s usage as a contract mechanism internationally. No one sees this but it is the Hammer of Thor on the head of the dollar.” The rejection of the USDollar in global trade will mean the end of the abused privilege in a currency turned toxic. Its rejection is the marquee event in the financial world for 2013, following isolation. It is unstoppable and all-encompassing, certain to have geopolitical consequences, as it alters the economic and financial landscape in harsh ways much like a band of violent marauders brandishing machetes alter the neckline of their victims. See the Tonton Macoute in Haiti. The greenback is cornered; it is done!

 

The central bankers and sovereign wealth fund managers are running scared. The Official Monetary & Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) is a forum of central banks, sovereign funds, financial policy makers, and market participants. It recently issued a report on the global monetary system, emphasizing the possibility of a major breakdown in international monetary relations as a result of the currency wars, which hinder productivity. It accepts that the present system is collapsing. It argues a formal role for gold is required to play in international finance. But they turn to the despised corrupt savage callous Intl Monetary Fund, and its broken currency vehicle, the discredited discarded SDR basket. They will be swept aside despite eyes partly open.

 

The opponents to financial hegemony have spent the last four years in planning a new order that can viably sustain the global trade system without a USDollar at its central role. On one side, foreign nations must avoid the toxic effect of the asset bubble USTreasury Bond as the core to their banking systems. On the other side, foreign nations must react to the accelerating threat to their national economies from both a uniform cost inflation effect and a rising currency effect that punishes strength, success, and prudence. The Competing Currency War has reached a new elevated fever pitch, with the major central banks delivering powerful damage to each other while defending themselves. The unintended consequences have been a predictable unfolding of events to the sound money gold crowd, with years of warning and even a label given to the conflict. It comes as an unwelcome surprise to the mainstream sheeple crowd, still entangled in the paper wealth corner. The process continues, the pathogenesis relentless as paper securities erode in value. The world is slowly coming to the realization that only a Gold Standard can cure the world of its financial cancer from metastasized paper insecurities. The contact of Silver will cleanse the hand that has held paper since 1971, when the era of modern chronic unsolvable financial crisis was born. That is, unsolvable without a primary role for Gold itself, the despised stable metal. Gold is the ultimate currency.

 

SHOCK YEAR 2013

So the Jackass call is that 2013 will see the US Dollar finally isolated and put in a position for rejection. It might not suffer a sudden death, but it will be corralled after being identified as the toxic agent flowing within the global financial arteries. However, the quarantine will be conducted in an extraordinarily clever fashion. Since the United States and United Kingdom, with its loyal court of followers in Western Europe, control the global banking system, the sovereign bond system, and the FOREX currency system, even the commodity markets including Gold & Silver, the solution had to be loaded with innovation if not guile. The alternative to the USDollar as a solution had to be formulated and planned as a counter-attack, but done so outside the oversized pockets of strength where the Anglo bankers ply their trade and controls. As many trade partners have been public about their objectives, when two parties come together to conduct trade, no rational reason can dictate that the USDollar should be used as a vehicle to settle trade, when both parties are located halfway across the globe. The New York and London bankster crowd cannot dictate Gold’s new role, when their vaulted gold supplies are being vacated to points in Asia, when their vault contents are demanded in official accounts for return, when their past gold shipments have been contaminated with tungsten. These banksters are being outed as criminals.

 

The end to US & UK hegemony is coming. It will arrive like a grand lasso cast around the set of trade partners seeking a fair system. Their proffered solutions will be ignored, like the QE lunacy in the United States and the ESM lunacy in Europe, both discredited totally. The IMF will not play a role in the next chapter. The irony is thick and inescapable. If the Anglo bankers insist on NOT considering, using, and relying upon Gold as a currency of utmost validity, robustness, and strength, then the rest of the world will devise a system for trade settlement that will evolve toward gold itself. The settlement of trade will not therefore pass through either the banking system or the currency marts. The solution will come in global trade that no longer requires the USDollar, but rather a simpler system where value is perceived more clearly, where the two participants will transact as peers, where payments will not rely upon the big banks, where the ignored super currency Gold is the basis. The deceptions of paper-based IOUs will be averted. The corruption in the banker shell games will be cast aside. The USDollar will be isolated, ignored, shunned, then put to death by the Americans themselves during its uncontrollable fever.

 

THE KEY: NON-USDOLLAR TRADE

The grand hint to the end-around solution in search for a USDollar alternative has been in front of the nose for several years, dating back to the China-Brazil bilateral swap deal in 2005. Little attention has been given a long sequence of similar bilateral swap deals that have centered upon the Chinese Yuan for initiating and settling trade. Nation after nation have lined up with the Beijing leaders to conduct trade in something akin to a credit card account based in Yuan currency, which converges toward zero over time on balance. Trade is initiated by one side delivering goods. The swap facility is tapped. Trade goes in the other direction, and the swap facility is credited toward zero. Numerous nations have signed up with China on such bilateral swap facility deals that enable brisk trade, in essentially a barter framework. The word barter is never used, since it might upset the powerful banker groups that shuffle bonds and currencies like so much stained wampum and contaminated salt at the corrupted trading posts. With Russia, South Korea, Japan, Iran, India, and Australia onboard with Chinese Yuan swap deals, one must suspect that a critical mass of perhaps half of global trade is conducted outside the USDollar shadow. This is a growing critical mass that acts much like scattered pylons on which to place a new trading platform. The key is that the collection of bilateral trade conducted by China is no longer done in USDollars. The objections are openly stated, that nations do not find it obligatory to settle trade in a third-party currency like the USDollar, especially when the US central bank is flooding the system with USDollars of highly suspicious origin but with very certain negative ramifications on the value of nationally managed reserve systems. The other big more recent hint is that Turkey is serving as a test site for trade settlement in Gold. Ankara bazaars are providing Gold in giant quantities, used in satisfying trade payments. So far the sleep Anglo bankers consider it minor, and operating in the Iranian shadows. They are wrong.

 

An important dynamic must be made clear. In the past decades as nations engaged in trade, in particular with crude oil, the trade was settled in USDollars. Therefore nation after nation accumulated USTBonds in their surplus reserves account as part of banking systems. They followed the lead set forth by the Saudis as they managed the Petro-Dollar functions. The Saudis recycled their surplus funds into USTBonds, so as to keep the balance of FOREX currencies intact even as massive imbalances built up quickly over time. As a result, the entire world of major nations, the global producers and traders accumulated USTBonds within their banking systems. The norm became USTreasurys with which to build national banking systems. So the Saudi-led Petro-Dollar established global trade done in USDollar terms, even outside the energy market. In a sense, their reserves management as agreed upon between the USGovt and Saudi royals (King Fahd), induced the global trade participants to follow suit and create banking systems built upon USTBonds also. All that is changing, since the Chinese Yuan swap facilities have taken on critical mass globally. However, the final blow to the USDollar will come from standard non-energy trade being settled outside any US$-based terms. The practice is accelerating, initiated in Asia, but spreading westward fast, urged along with a giant push in response to the Iran trade sanctions. Every action brings about an equal and opposite reaction.

 

The crux of the non-US$ trade vehicle devised as a USDollar alternative will be the Gold Trade Note. It will enable peer-to-peer payments to be completed from direct account transfers independent of currency, and most importantly, not done through the narrow pipes and channels controlled by the bankers with their omnipresent SWIFT code system among the world of banks. The Gold Trade Note will act much like a Letter of Credit, serve as a short-term bill, and maybe even push aside the near 0% short-term USTreasury Bills that litter the banking landscape. Any bond or bill earning almost no interest is veritable clutter. The zero bound USTreasurys open the door in a big way for replacement by a better vehicle. The new trade notes will involve posted gold as collateral, whose entire system for trade usage will bear a massive gold core that also will include silver and platinum, maybe other precious metals. The idea is to avoid the FOREX systems, to avoid the USDollar, and to avoid the banks as much as possible in a peer-to-peer system that can be executed between parties holding Blackberry devices or simple PC to complete the payments on transactions. If Gold is ignored by the corrupt bankers, then Gold will be the center of the new trade system and the solution in providing a globally accepted USDollar alternative.

 

Do not be surprised to see the Chinese Yuan later as interchangeable with the Gold Trade Note. But first the Yuan must be convertible into the many major currencies actively traded in the world. Numerous reports have come in recent weeks that the Yuan currency will soon have a gold backing, yet unconfirmed. My expectation is for the Chinese Yuan eventually to be interchangeable with the Trade Note. That will signal its implicit gold backing. While many events and steps are not known, and many surprises will be thrust on stage, the guiding pathways are slowly coming to light.

 

CURRENCY WAR AMONG CENTRAL BANKS

The Competing Currency War has grown in intensity. The competitive devaluations of currencies is causing severe damage among the major players. National reserves are suffering loss, while growing in size to dangerous levels. Protection of export trade has become of paramount importance. Nations are speaking openly through their central banks about the distress and urgency of the worsening situation. Russia has directly identified the currency battles as war. Nations are acting in their best self-interest, and in the process defying other nations, rendering them harm. With Switzerland and Japan enduring the brunt of the currency wars, look for them to each arrive at the conclusion that a Gold Standard would eliminate many problems. They are important pivotal nations. Successful nations and safe haven nations are put at great risk, even punished by having their floating currency rise. Great distortions are occurring as the Euro is propped, the beneficiary of colossal USDollar swap facility influx in the $trillions. The nearly constant US DX currency index is a lie, a false soothing signal that all is well. In fact, the USDollar is seeing instability with several currencies within the index.

 

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The list of nations undergoing active currency intervention is growing markedly. Currency manipulation actions are routine, each action inviting a reaction by other nations. It is not just Japan and the United States, the usual suspects. It is Luxembourg, Switzerland, South Korea, Sweden, Norway, and Brazil. Heck, even the venerable England has taken steps to create a Chinese Yuan swap facility. They do not wish to be left out when the Yuan becomes a more global currency, with full convertibility. London is aiding the path to a convertible Yuan. Who’d a thunk it? London wishes to remain a major trading center. Look for someday soon a Chinese Govt Bond auction denominated in Yuan, the offering managed by London banks. Such a development is not welcome news for New York, which must be seething with anger and flush with disgust. This is the more than a currency war, but rather a global currency tumult and transformation, with grand tectonic shifts, on the disruptive path to a return of the Gold Standard.

 

Some important events within the financial wars over control of money and determination of value is underway. Many details are analyzed in the January issue of the Gold & Currency Report for the Hat Trick Letter. Big disruptions are coming very soon to both the FOREX currency market and the Gold market. Gold price breakouts will occur in various currencies, but not in US$ terms, the defended bunker. The new dangerous phase of the competing currency war has the propped Euro keeping the US DX index up, since the Euro has an absurd overweight in the queer index (artifact of past era). The Gold price rise will come like a sudden burst of wind. The speculators who trade Gold based solely on the DXY index will not understand the processes going on behind the scenes. They will be greatly surprised and taken off guard by the poweful upward move in Gold when it arrives. Watch for the Swiss and Japan to knock on the door for entrance in the Eastern Alliance, which will produce the USDollar alternative. It requires a critical mass for success. The stress felt in these two nations will motivate their pursuit of the USDollar alternative solution. They are being seriously wounded by the fiat paper currency system with floating rates.

 

Russia spoke out viscerally on the growing global awareness of an open currency war. Events are not of a fresh war, but rather a climax. Russia’s central bank head Alexei Ulyukayev seems only recently aware of the battles among central bankers that have raged for a few years. The climax could result in a Gold Standard implemented in place, with the Anglo-Americans deposed. The practice of competitive devaluation has turned routine. All actions taken by individual nations invite quick reactions by affected partners. Conversely, the successful nations do not tolerate punishment with a higher exchange rate. A return to gold in a central role would provide reward instead of punishment. This is the currency war entering the final phase, where the Gold Standard could potentially emerge as the global solution. The returned imposition of the standard would enable successful nations to garner more gold as reward (see Norway, Switzerland), and punish sluggish wayward parasitic sclerotic socialist nations which run chronic trade deficits by sending them to the Third World. Recall the shattered objective made in 2009 by central bankers. Their vacant call was reiterating just three months ago, to refrain from competitive devaluation of currencies. No nation refrained, as it is total empty rhetoric. When pressured and under attack, individual nations will act in their own domestic best interests, to defend their industries, to fight to survive.

 

The world has NEVER seen so much direct currency intervention and protective action taken by central banks. History is being made. The currency tremors augur some truly historical events, with the return of the Gold Standard coming, although by indirect means via trade settlement. By consequence the FOREX currencies and their crumbling bond foundation will be indirectly declared ruined, toxic, and unworthy of widespread global usage as a monetary platform. Some important events highlight the Competing Currency War clashes:

  • Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega first dubbed a currency war in 2010 in open terms, engaging the richer nation. He must be credited with the initial challenges and confrontations of the major central bank powers.
  • Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker complained of a dangerously high Euro. Its 7% gain against the USDollar in the past six months poses a fresh threat to the EuroZone economy. The European Central Bank states that it is not prepared to favor a weaker currency.
  • Switzerland has been blocking the Franc appreciation against the Euro since September 2011. Their central bank balance sheet has gone over 70% of GDP, but will fail to achieve any success. Great losses await in the blowback.
  • The central bank of Norway (Norges Bank) has received pressures from the finance ministry, in reaction to a strong Krone currency. The ministry urges more accommodation, and not to continue conducting a tight fiscal policy. The Krone has been rising due to a responsible government, and long successful North Sea oil project with about $1.6 trillion held in sovereign wealth funds.
  • The central bank of Sweden wishes to execute a rate cut in order to avert a stronger Krona currency. The Riksbank head has argued for deeper rate cut than the 0.25 basis point enacted. They prefer the basic self mutilation method.
  • Japan has reignited new major battles, as newly elected Prime Minister Shinzo Abe urged a more aggressive central bank, turning it into more of a political arm. The result has been an 11% Yen decline since December against the USDollar. Their 22-year interventions are a total disaster, and example to observe. Expect Japan to join forces with the Chinese in common goals.
  • The Bank of Korea has formally stated an urgent response is needed to defend against the falling Japanese Yen. Concern is over the harmful impact to exports and investor confidence. Their finance ministry wishes to put forward an agenda item at the G-20 talks in Moscow, on adverse effects of monetary easing in the United States, Europe, and Japan. Expect South Korea to join forces with the Chinese, as they diversify out of USTBonds.

 

SWITZERLAND POISED FOR GRAND LOSSES

The official program launched by the Bank of Japan delivered some powerful blows to the Swiss bankers and their lunatic peg against the Euro currency. Defense of Japanese industry has translated into outsized losses for the Swiss central bank portfolio, simply put. Extreme risk continues to rise toward a break point in Switzerland. Their Euro-Franc peg cannot be held firm. As the Euro continues to crumble (regardless of exchange rate), investors are flocking to the Swiss hills. The Swiss National Bank cannot hold the 120 declared peg. Their short Franc position and long Euro position, with other major currency long positions from some diversification (like into the Japanese Yen), will assuredly break as each major nation manages according to their own national priorities. The urgent Euro defense has prompted other nations to take defensive action. The war is on. A new phase has begun, with damage done to other nations rising. The Swiss Natl Bank has converted itself to an ill-fated hedge fund in danger of massive losses. Its losses are mounting. Its reserves from Franc defense are in the 75% range of their national GDP, the size of their economy. The Euro-Franc peg is doomed to fail, with gigantic losses to come in the cascade of ruin. Note that the Japanese Yen has moved down hard in four months time, and continues down.

 

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A look at a 50-year chart (shown in the January Hat Trick Letter paid reports) should cause alarm, since the trend over two generations appears to be in the early phase of an important reversal. The JapYen is falling rapidly by designed pressure from their central bank, which has been politicized radically in recent weeks. Massive losses are coming from the Swiss bets on the Yen, along with catastrophic losses from an explosive upward move in their own SwFranc currency. The focus of the Competing Currency War right here right now should be squarely on the Swiss and Japanese. They are at war with each other, blowing up the Swiss reserves. The Swiss thought they were acting prudently by diversifying out of the Euro and into the British Pound and Japanese Yen. The BPound is down from 163 on January 1st to 156 today, almost a 5% decline in merely five weeks. The JapYen is down strong, from 129 in late September to 107 today, falling with powerful momentum. The Asian currency is down a monstrous 17% in the last four months. Japan is trying to push down their currency in order to make cheaper their exports. On the other hand, England is just falling apart, in a nasty recession.

 

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The Swiss National Bank went all in three times and counting in the last several months, with heavy commitments to defend against a fast rising Swiss Franc currency. The Swiss have a truly massive and deadly commitment, seen by the size of their central bank balance sheet. It is like a giant boil on the Swiss face. Details of the interventions are full of intrigue, if not highlights of the futility. Huge losses await the small nation dominated by its banks. The bankers have gone coo-coo, like their clocks. Compare. The USFed has a big balance sheet, equal in size to over 20% of the USEconomy size, as measured by GDP. The Euro Central Bank goes further, with a balance sheet of 30% of GDP for the EuroZone. The Swiss take it to a new level, two to three times larger. The balance sheet of the Swiss National Bank contain assets amounting to about 75% of the Swiss GDP. They have literally bet the bank on three separate occasions recently. The nation is small, but the carried risk is staggering, enough to collapse their financial system. It is already badly damaged from a) the loss of secret private accounts, b) the loss from underwriting mortgages in Eastern Europe, and c) the loss from US$-based toxic bonds. Next comes potentially catastrophic losses from currency regime defense, compounded by legal challenges on Allocated Gold Accounts with accompanying multi-$billion lawsuits kept quiet.

 

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The big irony in the Jackass viewpoint is that the Swiss will become a key force as an important swing vote. The potential is there for a hidden role. They might join the global gold-backed currency movement that replaces the USDollar in trade settlement. This is the currency war entering the final phase, where the Gold Standard could potentially emerge as the global solution. Imagine Switzerland with its impressive flow of funds into the Swiss hills, seeking safe haven from the collapse of Europe. A Gold Standard would mean that gold bullion would follow the flow of funds, the exact opposite impact as the current situation for the historical land of banks. So Switzerland could serve as a big swing state in the financial sector, like Turkey could serve as a big swing state in the trade settlement sector.

 

G-20 FLASH POINT

Rumor is circulating in London that neither the United States nor the United Kingdom will attend the G-20 Meeting in Moscow. Refusal to attend by the Anglos would open a giant gate to coordinate plans by the leading Eastern nations (trade participants) on the new trade settlement system with attendant platforms. Rather than creating a new and better currency, they are more likely to establish a gold-backed trade settlement process that will render the USDollar obsolete. Failure to attend by the US-UK tagteam of financial fascists would ignite the Eastern-led consortium on motivation toward the launch of the new system in a more open public vocal manner with press conferences. The Third World awaits the nations that refuse to become part of a growing critical mass in global trade, which desires a more fair and equitable system of trade settlement. It is coming, but awaits a climax of collapse.

 

TAINTED GOLD CHART

The Jackass finds little value in the Gold chart, the object of criminal control. Honestly, rarely is the so-called official gold price checked for months. By happenstance, it flashes across the television screen when the bumblers on the financial news networks are silenced by my mute button. Their gold price is controlled within a boring false range of meaningless that does not attract my attention or interest. The actual Gold price is 10% higher than the posted COMEX corrupted price, in many parts of the world where it is actively traded in volume, with authentication and verified bars bearing certification. Much of the New York and London gold is either stolen or confiscated, their stated inventory as full of fiction as the economic reports. Moreover much of the exported Anglo gold has tungsten centers. Their gold bars are as imaginary and contaminated as their sovereign bonds and mortgage bonds. So the Jackass sticks with the gold and currency wars, the developments by the stubborn resistant East, and trends toward the sunset of the USDollar after it is cornered like a rat. Ignored are the marquee billboards with false prices from leveraged fraud, naked shorting (see the Big Four US Banks), theft of client accounts awaiting delivery (see MFGlobal), surrogate wars to confiscate foreign gold accounts (see Libya), and raids of the Gold ETFund often called the bullion central bank kitty. The Jackass refuses to permit syndicate whores and harlots to define virginity or purity, or to set the price of taking a lady out to dinner, a show, and whatever follows. The entire pack of Western bankers can go to hell, whose doorkeeper prince of darkness is their object of worship in rituals.

 

REQUIEM FOR THE NATION

A sweeping captivating question will dominate in 2013: What happened to the United States? The answer cannot be made simple. As preface, the key to comprehension must bring focus to extreme banker thefts in the multiple $trillions, which began in a virtual theft of the bulk of the national home equity in the mortgage bond fraud. The problem is far more pervasive, if any degree of depth is to be grasped. It was the refusal to liquidate the broken sacred banks steeped in criminal activity, the extreme corrosion to the economy from adopted sanctioned urgently requested hyper monetary inflation, the burdensome war costs hidden within the mammoth unfixable federal budget deficits, the compromised Congress whose constituents are lobbyists, the cancerous growth of the state which is realized in higher taxes, onerous regulations, an expansive welfare network, and a forced tiresome war on terrorism that conceals a broad confiscation of gold hoards during a global capture of the narcotics trade, upon which the New York banks are hopelessly dependent. A military element has been prevalent in the breakdown, an extension of the Fascist Business Model into the business sector. It saw impunity of big banks from prosecution, devotion to war, permission of narcotics by the security agencies, the obfuscation of liberty as it vanished, the perversion of patriotism (including honor guards at sporting events), the subjugation of the press, the salute to an aggressive national socialism (often dubbed nazi by the enlightened). Enter systemic failure from a military standpoint.

 

The short answer on what went wrong would cite the departure from the Gold Standard, the advent of war beginning with Vietnam War and continuing through the Cold Soviet War and transitioning into a deceptive War on Islamic terrorism. The overly strong and active US labor unions caused a reaction to seek Asian outsources. The overly dominant financial sector led to dependence upon a series of aberrant asset bubbles, each and every one blessed by the wayward heretic US central bank, which owns a giant responsibility in the systemic failure in progress. The devotion to war has resulted in an added $3 trillion in the USGovt deficit just since 2003, and half the overall $17 trillion in total. A deadly decision was made in late 1999 that assured the demise of the nation, questioned by few, never having sat well with those in possession of an active economic brain stem. The discharge of the bulk of US factories to Asia, mostly to China, sent the legitimate income producing capability away, only to be replaced to a deeper dependence upon asset inflation. The resulting deficits for the USGovt cannot even remotely be repaid, nor even financed. Creditors have fled. The forced endless 0% rate is kept in place to enable debt service itself. Enter systemic failure from an political and fiscal standpoint.

 

When the Hat Trick Letter began in May 2004, the Jackass was very clear that the US housing market and mortgage finance sector would eventually enter a bust period. Due to the extreme dependence by the USEconomy on home equity extraction and bond security trades, the nation would enter a period of deadly insolvency followed by systemic failure since no monetary policy could pull the nation out of the toxic quicksand. It had no traction in industry from which to derive stimulus of low interest rates. Imagine a car spinning its engine with a Weimar stamp on the block, whose RPMs rise multiples past the red line of danger, whose transmission spins the bank-made tires endlessly, creating a din of noise and a thick mist of burning oil, but whose wheels have no connection to the roadway. No critical mass of industry means no locomotion for the USEconomy, as simple as that. Besides, the United States cannot compete on a wage basis with Asia, nor a union basis, nor on a government regulatory basis, and increasingly on a quality basis. Enter systemic failure from an industry standpoint.

 

In the last couple years, the systemic failure has extended from the USFed hyper monetary inflation, which kills capital itself in a manner that not 5% of economists comprehend. Central bank monetary policy to print nearly unlimited amounts of money, including funds destined for Europe, and to keep the official lending rate at the zero bound has resulted in a rising cost structure with no discernible increase in wages or income. Worse, the accumulated funds in savings and pensions earn nothing, therefore go negative when price effects are factored. The corrosive cost effect and the wet blanket savings effect on the USEconomy perpetuate the recession that has been firmly in place since 2008. No recovery has occurred in five years, despite the chatter and deception and lunatic pronouncements from the policy makers, compromised bankers, and poor excuses for economists (banker harlots & promoters). The USGovt deficits are covered over 80% in volume by the printing press with a Weimar nameplate. Foreign USTBond investors have vacated the auction pits and other financial premises. The reliance upon interest rate derivatives has been exposed, starting last spring and summer 2012 in JPMorgan admissions, in order to keep the absurdly ultra-low official interest rates in place. Enter systemic failure from a financial standpoint.

 

The cast of leaders has converted treason into a facade of patriotism, as they defecate and urinate on the tree of liberty, preparing their drones and black aircraft for assaults on cities. The battles politically remind a history student of a localized conflict between Nazism and Stalinism, with a surefire blend in targeting the population with a parade of assaults typical of each camp. Anyone who has overlooked that Neo-Con means Neo-Nazi, and the march to Socialism in the other party has a striking tone of Soviet Collectivism, simply misses the big trend in American politics. The FEMA Camp influx for indoctrination, along with psychotropic drug treatment for those who fail to salute, should convince the masses a bit more. Events in the sky over Miami and Houston in the past week should do more than awaken, even frighten, as they spread to other cities. The collection programs for guns will be eclipsed by collection of private pension funds and perhaps gold itself. The exit strategy for the US Federal Reserve might be extremely simple, enabled by the heavy Big Brother hand. Over $19 trillion in private pension funds in IRAs, 401ks, and Keoughs might be forced out of their current positions and dragged into a new special USGovt Bond that is backed by unwanted USTBonds racked by QE storms and worthless USAgency Mortgage Bonds racked by lost collateral that the big US banks eagerly dumped on the USFed. The $3 trillion central bank toxic balance sheet could be passed onto the gullible helpless and victimized American public. Their only real choice is to flee, like the USTBond creditors.

 

Self-protection will be deemed unlawful, either for personal safety or financial security. Speaking out in opposition will be deemed unpatriotic, if not subversive. Orwell, Huxley, and Thoreau are watching the obscene steps taken by the state. For some reason, fond memories of Richie Havens strumming his guitar and belting his tunes about freedom have been running in my mind for weeks, an icon from the 1970 decade, which produced the best music ever created in rock & roll.

 

THE HAT TRICK LETTER PROFITS IN THE CURRENT CRISIS.

From subscribers and readers:

At least 30 recently on correct forecasts regarding the bailout parade, numerous nationalization deals such as for Fannie Mae and the grand Mortgage Rescue.

 

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Jim Willie CB is a statistical analyst in marketing research and retail forecasting. He holds a PhD in Statistics. His career has stretched over 25 years. He aspires to thrive in the financial editor world, unencumbered by the limitations of economic credentials. Visit his free website to find articles from topflight authors at  www.GoldenJackass.com. For personal questions about subscriptions, contact him at  JimWillieCB@aol.com

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  1. The model of survival is in the history books to emulate. The only deterent from its exercise is delusional hubris, proudly refusing it out of hand.
     
    In 1450, when China’s ‘flying money’ imploded, the Emperor decreed that all the notes were to be converted to the familiar ‘cash’ we know still to this day, with those characteristic square holes in their centers. Bronze statuary, copper pots and decorative vases were all conscripted to the task and as a result, China both preserved its Empire and center of influence in Asian commerce. Although it took China a further three centuries to rebuild its silver circulation, squandered through paper infatuation, it succeeded. That sort of a time penalty needn’t recur in today’s global trading environment, yet, even if that were unavoidable, the clear path of successful solution is there to serve humanity again.
     
    My greater point is that the evil doesn’t lay in America’s consuming excesses and cut-throat competitive practices, it lay in the banknote scheme itself. All countries around the world have fallen to its Siren Song and to imagine that with the fall of the American banknote sub-set portion of the ‘float’, that all will become goodness and calm for societies again, is a fairy-tale. 

    Paper Rots, Coin Does Not.

  2. I love Jim Willie because he try’s to think.  But, sometimes he uses a lot of words that a simpler mind like my own could have summed up in 10% of the words.  Yes, we have a currency war.  It will eventually cause us to lose our reserve currency status.  2013 will be the year that folks realize that the dollar is doomed.  It won’t die right away.  The price of gold is artificial, don’t worry about the current listed price.  In otherwords, gold will seemingly plod along for awhile during the time that this currency war is carried on.  Be patient and please subscribe to the Hat Trick letter.  Thats about it.  He’s a real JackAss. 

    • Yes, Willie IS one of the better writers out there today, although he does seem to have a personal problem with hyperbole. I do like the scope and the depth of his research, though.
       
      Something that a great many Americans do not understand is the value of the US dollar being the World Reserve Currency.  In fact, most people don’t even know that the US dollar IS the WRC.  Those who do, however, often do not appreciate what the loss of that status will mean.  Without it, there will be a much smaller demand for dollars around the world.  That will translate directly into a lower value for the US dollar.  Various people have looked at this and their estimates range for a devaluation of 25-45% with 35% or about 1/3 being a consensus average.  If so, then when this hits, it will be as if all dollar holders suddenly have 1/3 less money than they thought.  Anyone with $100,000 saved, for example, would suddenly discover that they had only $67k in buying power.  This could happen very quickly, perhaps even in just a few days, so it is not like the slow devaluation via inflation.
       

  3. Great article puts things in perspective.
     
    First time i heard about military helicopters over Miami and Houston.
    These pricks are getting pretty brazen with their antics.My take away:Were getting close to some sort of seminal event.

    • Yep sure is coming. Homeland Security and even the Social Security Administration has stocked up on millions of rounds of ammo. Military and Police are on alert and the government headed by the “Savior Oreo” damned well knows the shit is going to hit the fan. BIG ASSED SWAN EVENT ON THE IMMEDIATE NATIONAL HORIZON. RIOTS, CIVIL WAR IS ON THE WAY MY FRIEND. Does anyone really think that the DRONE program is really aimed at American Terrorists? Hell No, they are aimed at any Americans that will protest actions of The U S Government. Buy Beans, Bullets and Bandaids, we are going to need all.

    • “…and even the Social Security Administration has stocked up on millions of rounds of ammo.”
       
      Yeah, I can just see the SS offices all around the country being swarmed by PO’d oldsters with their canes, walkers, wheel chairs, and catheters.  A dangerous group if ever there was one.  Best to be HEAVILY armed to fend off such dangerous people!  :-/
       

    • I find the idea of a bond bubble bursting quite plausible but would be interested in your reasoning as to why it is not.
       
      My reasoning is based on the thought that the US Treasury bonds have become very over-subscribed, meaning that there are multiple trillions worth of them sloshing around the world, US T-bonds are intimately attached to the US dollar for their values, the entire world financial system is awash in sovereign debt from many nations that have a hard time even servicing the debt let alone ever paying them off, about $7T worth of US T-bonds are due for roll-over in 2013, US T-bonds are guaranteed to lose purchasing power because they pay less in interest than even the cooked-books inflation numbers cranked out by the Fed, and at some point in the not too distant future a lot of bond holders are going to figure this all out and race for the exits all at the same time.  Not all of them can fit through those doors, however, and their attempt to do so will cause a drastic drop in price as sellers will greatly outnumber buyers.  If this happens quickly enough, bond prices will collapse faster than Bernanke can print and prop them up.  All, IMHO, of course and YMMV.
       

  4. Why would anyone want a banker or politician telling us what gold or silver or any other commodity is worth in a new gold standard scheme/sham? The free market works just fine as a standard for everything! If governments or central banks decide what the price will be set at you can bet your last ounce they will be robbing us one way or another.

    • “The free market works just fine as a standard for everything!”
       
      Sure but that does not provide the scum of the Earth with either the power or the perks that they desire!
       
      ” If governments or central banks decide what the price will be set at you can bet your last ounce they will be robbing us one way or another.”
       
      All part of THE plan.  :-(

  5. A bit laborious with much detail repeated. No Fiat is here to stay, the powers that be want to control you not empower you. Graphs, stats and quotes from middle management types mean nothing. There are a few people controlling the whole show, Fiat was constructed to fail, but whatever comes next will be to design, based on the same Keynesian ideas. Its all going to put into one central bank, it will take about 30 more years to accomplish but they are getting there. I have no problem with precious metals being on the fringe of society, it means I am still on the winning team. Doesn’t matter if it is a competing currency or not. People want it, I got it, its valuable. Pirates life for me :-) 

    Oh and of course a country intervenes in monetary policy, even on the gold standard countries bought and sold deposits to change its countries currency value. There is a race to devalue currencies of countries with large export driven economies, all that has changed this time round is the dollar being devalued as well. Usually the Americans pretend that the dollar is high but reap debt deposits by selling the dollar as a reserve currency to balance the trade deficit. Its a shit pie and any country without exportable primary classed goods are going to take a big bite.

  6. “Expect Japan to join forces with the Chinese in common goals.”
     
    Hmmm… would those be the same Japanese and Chinese who are nose to nose and about to start swinging at each other over the Senkaku Islands?
     
    “… the advent of war beginning with Vietnam War and continuing through the Cold Soviet War…”
     
    Actually, the cold war between the Western powers and the USSR started shortly after WWII, substantially before the Vietnam war came along.
     

  7. Jim Willie mentions confiscation.  The government already has contingency plans to seize what ever the hell they want to when the shtf.  Farmland food heavy equipment whatever. When the banks finally screw everything up their plan is to outright rob everybody at gun point for whatever they can get so they can save US.  You can draw whatever conclusions that you like but if they steal my metal  there is going to be  payback for some of those bitches.  Don’t steal my metal without snuffing me first.  

    • “When the banks finally screw everything up their plan is to outright rob everybody at gun point for whatever they can get so they can save US.”
       
      If those stupid b@st@rds COULD “save the US”, it is unlikely that we would be in the crapper as we are now.  All that they will succeed in doing is making the situation even worse.
       
      “… if they steal my metal…”

       
      WELL hidden metal will not be found or stolen.  Do not invite combat with these cretins.  That is a losers game.  A winners game is to sit back, plan, think, stay below the radar, and bleed them into submission via sabotage and ambush.  This is what a small opponent must do to defeat a much larger opponent.  Use guile and mobility against them.  They have no defense against them but they do have numbers AND firepower.
       
       

    • It will be at gun point and someone will shoot back starting the civil war. And the Number of armed US citizens far outnumbers whatever the government an throw at us. The drone argument only works for large groups. Hit and run sniper strikes will whittle the government forces to nothing.

  8. I think the monkey in the wrench is no one knows what the hell will ultimately happen. But, one thing that can reduce your uncertainty is holding Physical gold and silver; because whatever countries do emerge out of this mess, the only thing that will hold as a medium of exchange are PMs. That is the only certainty in this world; not worrying about what the BRIC nations are going to do. It is obvious the dollar is doomed to fail and those that hold physicals will win out. There are many in the PM crowd that seem to think they will just sell their gold and silver and be rich? Ya, and what happens when the US goes Weimar? I hope you have a plan to buy up a core holding of gold or you will be sorry about the get quick rich scheme. 

    On a sidenote, it remains to be seen if China will collapse on itself in the future because of its communistic, over-centralized economy or from the extreme social disruption building. I am currently here, and I can tell you there is a growing distrust and concern over human rights among the people. I keep saying the more people convert to Christianity the more the country will probably implode and become something new and better. After all, it is what Niall Ferguson alludes to in his “Civilization” Documentary, the protestant work-ethic and the wealth producing effect of private property that brought us the fruit of our labor, which we seem to be exporting. Everything is not so clear though as the Jackass makes it to be. I am also not really sure a country that is expected to drop its population by 50 million people by 2050 will remain stable>>> see Russia.

    • I have known a few Chinese people and have read a fair amount about China and its history.  A Chinese fellow and I were once discussing the future of China and I pointed out that “China is the only place in the world that has poor Chinese”.  Everywhere else that there are Chinese, they become at least middle class if not outright wealthy.  He agreed with me and we concluded that it was Communism that was holding back the people of China.  If people want to fear something, consider what would happen if Communism collapsed in China and that entire nation became like Singapore.

  9. I get it Golden Jackass. However, despite Soros’ predictions last year, knowing full well that the Anglo’s have the world by the shorthairs, it is worth reading what they think too. I present the World Economic Forum last month.
     
    China’s currency, the renminbi (RMB), will probably not supplant the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency, except possibly “in the very long term”, said Lawrence H. Summers, Charles W. Eliot University Professor, Harvard University, and a former US Treasury Secretary, in a televised session at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting today.
    weforum.org/news/china-s-currency-unlikely-topple-us-dollar-world-s-reserve-currency
     
    No gold standard is feasible with private ownership IMHO. 

    • Lawrence Summers?  The same Lawrence Summers who led the adminstration into adding another 5 trillion dollars to the debt.  The same Harvard Professor Summers who inferred that women were incapable of comprehending higher math?  That Lawrence Summers?  PLEASE SPARE US!!!

    • Yes, that Lawrence Summers. My take is this the Council of Foreign Relations is speaking, through Summers. The so-called Elite, the so-called Illuminati, the CFR, the Rothchild/Rockefellar NWO bunch are all speaking through Summers. They are the rulers of this planet, are left of Satanic Russia and China. There seems to be a seismic shift in their thinking. As of last year, it was trash America, embrace Chinese Communism. Jim is/was right, we all sensed this was the outcome.Something happened, though. Now it appears there will be a fight to keep the USD as the Reserve/Petro Dollar for the immediate termto short term to until further notice.  I suggest we start reading this blog.

      washingtonsblog.com/2013/02/beggar-thy-neighbor-currency-devaluations-proved-ruinous-for-the-global-economy-in-the-1930s-but-the-world-is-setting-off-down-the-same-slippery-slope-again.html

  10. Willie’s articles in the past seem to be succinct and to the point….he seems to need way to many words now to get his point across anylonger….don’t read him near as much now but when I do mostly skim his articles, though he does have good things to say! 

  11. I’m glad he isn’t including the gold chart on every piece now.    The technicals are a joke.   The COMEX is a joke.   You either own it or you don’t, and you don’t need a quote screen to know you have it.   1 OUNCE IS 1 OUNCE.   THAT IS THE “PRICE.”

  12. three things about the Swiss that came across the net.
    1.  The Swiss are the world’s best at smelting gold. the Chinese need this technology to recast their entire gold stock into kilogram bars. That is a reasonable alliance
    2.  The Swiss just got roped and slammed into another agreement with the US, forced to give up names of account holders.  this kills a large part of their banking model and alienates to the US. Bank losses are massive as account holders flee.
    3.  Swiss pharma is a very large business .  The Swiss/Yen  currency fights are still going to encourage the Swiss to get closer to China. 
    Eurozone GDP dropped .6%  That is a very large contraction of this $17 trillion GDP.
    Japan just finished their 3rd quarter of negative GDP.
    The Swiss need allies outside of Europe since their currency trades are going badly and they are flooded by Euros looking for a place to hide or seek safe harbor.  The Swiss Frank strengthens due to the flood of these funds, hurting their export trade. This makes them vulnerable to trade wars, something they can ill afford to have. 

    • The Swiss were invited to put a gun to their heads back in August\September 2011, and graciously complied, with the Euro-peg. At this stage their whole economy is in quiet melt down; look for the liquidators\receivers stepping in soon.
      The shift is in full swing, as Swiss Metalor hurries to ready a new refinery in Singapore(their HongKong one already maxed out)The critical alliances you refer to are already in place…just follow the bouncing ball that is Ivanhoe Capital(‘Toxic Bob’ Friedman )to see how the smart money flows…offices in Singapore, Beijing, Vancouver and London…mining ventures in Mongolia and Kazakhstan…legacy financial centers need not apply! Bob is a smallish fish who follows in the wake of the big Barracudas – Rothschilds and Rio Tinto are all over the East now cutting deals on preparation for the big capital flows.
       
       
       
       
       

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