OK, 20 Silver Dollars could buy a $20 Gold Piece (roughly ~1 Oz. Gold) which was 15.4 T oz. Silver.
It is currently 53.5:1 (Silver to Gold) as of market close 10/24/12
We all know this. Are you also aware that 100 COPPER CENTS was EQUAL to .77 T oz of Silver?
A copper cent weighs 1/10th of a Troy oz. so the old CSR used to be 136.7:1 CSR (or ~$1.29/oz Silver, or 129 cents) remembering that cents are 95% copper.
Silver Price per Avoirdupois Pound (~14.6 T oz/pound) $464.72
Copper Price per Avoirdupois Pound…………………………………$3.57
NEW (current) CSR 130.2:1 OUT OF RANGE? Yeah, maybe a bit HIGH!
Traditionally, Copper is 136.7:1 with Silver.
Seems Copper is a slight bit “overvalued” as compared to Silver… 136.7/130.2= 1.05:1 or 5% overvalued (historically).
So let’s figure GOLD price per Avoirdupois Pound, to compare the traditional values for constitutional US Money:
GOLD price per Avoirdupois Pound: (14.6 x $1702.50) $24856.50
Copper Price per Avoirdupois Pound……………………………………..$3.57
CGR (copper/gold Ratio) = 6962.6:1 CURRENT
Historic CGR ………………………2105.3:1 HISTORIC
Copper would have to increase by a factor of 3.3x over current prices (6962.6/2105.3) to reach “historic parity ratio” with Gold, whereas SILVER would have to go up 3.47x over current prices to reach ”historic parity ratio” with Gold. 3.47/3.3= 1.05:1 or 5% overvalued (historically). Same as above, checking CSR directly to these calculations. The math checks out!
IN OTHER WORDS:
Copper is undervalued, (historically) but not quite as badly as Silver. (5% less undervalued)
HOWEVER, Copper’s market fundamentals DO NOT SUPPORT as huge of a “correction” as the market fundamentals of SILVER. Copper is much more plentiful than Silver, but also diminishing in supply and quality. If anyone is looking to stack Copper (in newly struck rounds or ingot form), I would strongly suggest they limit their exposure. I would suggest that copper, being a much more “industrial” metal than Silver, should be a much smaller percentage of one’s PM portfolio, if at all. Copper “rounds” (“coin” is a term reserved for legal govt. tender) are subject to a very high percentage PREMIUM, best I have seen is a 634% Premium using today’s spot price and a $1.69 per round price for a 1 oz Avoirdupois Copper Round (avoirdupois is 28.4 grams, Troy is 31.1 grams) which is SMALLER than a Troy Oz. precious metals coin or round, by weight. 23 cents worth of copper for $1.69 is not a good deal… Copper would have to appreciate over SIX TIMES to make these rounds worth what you paid. Remember, Copper is only 3.3 times under ”historic parity ratio” and the prices are already inflated, by the copper round fabrication costs. I spoke with JIM of (another mint, name withheld in respect of ”The Doc”) that makes copper rounds, and all in all, it is a fair price for a Copper Round. I would LOVE for Silver premiums to be as LOW (per round) for Silver, but they are not. Unless you buy like 100 pieces. (or More!)
So what if you try to buy Copper Rounds in Bulk or Ingots? (by the pound)
Bulk Rounds, (not sure of quantity, but it is BIG) Premiums get down to $.99/each (plus spot $.23) but if memory serves, that is for 1000? Cannot pull up the proper info, but the premiums are correct, if not the required quantities.
I have seen these as low as $15/pound, (Usually Higher!) but when Spot is $3.57/pound, it’s still a NO DEAL.
I’d rather have a few overpriced Rounds, to make change for smaller Silver exchanges. But VERY FEW.
Oh well, this has a lot of facts, but some opinion, but I can tell you, the SURE THING in Copper Stacking is
sorting US Cents. I have been finding an average of 15 copper cents per roll of 50 coins. That is still a good 30% of .950 Copper, in a recognized US government minted coin, easy to identify and can still be had for FACE VALUE, not at a nominal 500-600%+ markup!
I stack COPPER, but I get mine at a Discount ;)
This topic was modified 1 year, 9 months ago by undeRGRönd. Reason: Corrected prices for copper "rounds". & the math
Excellent post to say the least. I’ve also discovered that it is best to get copper at a discount or free. I’ve got a shopping bag full of old copper coins that I’ve collected since I was a boy. It currently serves as a ‘decoy’ stash, but maybe it is time to count and record exactly how much copper I’ve got in my PM portfolio.
If we go to a barter system and start using gold and silver again as currency then copper coins will be the main media of exchange. They will be needed as change for the silver and have been historically used as the dominate currency of the masses. Copper coin shortages have caused many disruptions of the currency system throughout history. Pre-1981 copper cents (and some 1982) are worth about 2 1/2 cents each, spot price. They are easily selling on ebay at for 1.6 cents each in quantity. Once the law changes on melting them, the market will pick up and they will be worth more as industrial copper. This will occur when the government thinks most of the copper cents have been purged from circulation. A roll of cents from the bank typically contain 20% of the copper (95%) cents from my observation.
If you have a secure warehouse then by all means load up on pre-1981 pennies. Just realize the age old problem where someone can hold $10,000 worth of gold in their hand versus it would take a fork lift to move this amount of pennies. Personally I would lean towards Canadian nickels minted between 1955 – 1981 which are worth $0.0725 each. Sure not the 200% markup of the copper penny but will require much less space for storage.
@CRISSY had some good thoughts, maybe copper will stick with Silver in the Gold ratios, as Silver goes up. Hopefully! As for copper cents in rolls, I find ~30% but I’m in the midwest, less population density, and presumably less stackers of all types of coins.
@PowerBall, I’m not at all promoting Copper over other metals, Silver is easily #1 for investment upside, and Gold is the most dense in wealth storage (at the moment!) I thoroughly recommend a minimal exposure to Copper for change making in a PM’s money scenario. All the arguments tilt towards Silver, unless you have huge sums that need converted to hard and portable currency… Then GOLD.
@SilverBullion: Thanks! Good idea, using that in the “fake stash”. I’d substitute new “zinkies” now and stash the copper in with the good stacks :D
I stack copper. I go to the bank and get rolls to sort through and pull out the pre-82 and I have some copper rounds. Not too many rounds due to the fact that copper will have to triple to make any money on them, but I like to keep a diversification. But the copper cents are where its at. I don’t have much in the way of a stack, like $9.00 face, but that will jump every week. I can stack copper way faster than silver. It is a long term thing for me, I know they wont be 5x face this year, but they are already 2x face. And when the gov makes it clear that they are pulling them, and when we go the way of our friends to the north, there will be a copper coin market just like the silver coin market. With the creation of a copper ETF at JP Morgan, I can only guess that a copper investment now will pay off later. To me, if JPM is opening a copper ETF, that means they see interest in the market. It can be a jumping in place if silver gets too expensive and gold way out of reach. Better to get in on the ground floor than on the 100th floor. It is good to hold pennies due to the fact that if the price goes no where, I still have the face value, unlike my bullion rounds.
That’s pretty much what I do. Adds up Quick! I also find a good number of very shiny ones. These are kept separate. I find a few offset dies, and/or double strikes. Found 2 relatively shiny wheaties! One looks cleaned…
I’ma gonna sell the unsearched wheat cents on “the ‘Bay” and see what I can get. Got over 300 of those I believe. Should get a decent amount for those.
I did a comparison of AG to Cu from the 1913 price not to long ago. If the value of a dollar has lost 97% of its value then 1$ is only worth 1 Cu cent. Therefore in 1913 it cost our great grand parents 1 paper $ or 100 Cu cents to purchase 1 Ag dollar (24 Grams pure Ag). A 97% devaluation of the dollar since 1913 means the Ag dollar price should be 97 paper dollars or 970 cents. But instead we can buy an Ag for 3o paper dollars or 3000 cents. If you use Cu penny weight (value of the Cu content by weight), it would cost 1000 Cu pennies to by 1 oz of Ag. That’s more that our grand parents paid!! I can’t think of anything but Ag that is 60% cheaper today than it was in 1913! And we don’t have to buy 90% & 24 grams Ag, we get 31 Grams of .999% Ag, which makes it more like a 70% to 75% discount! Nothing Shines Like Silver, Nothing! I would buy Ag with paper 1st. Then to get more Ag use zinc pennies or any other fiat coin. Save your copper if you want but remember it isn’t worth what silver is and never will be.
LOL, I raid the “take a penny” dish at cash registers. I do exchange them for zinkies…
I have this one place in a small town I drive thru to get to work, and they always seem to have an over abundance of copper cents in that dish. If folks only knew what they were doing. I foresee a day where we will wish we had done MORE of this coin roll hunting and nickel saving, etc. My wife thinks I am nuts LOL
This reply was modified 1 year, 7 months ago by undeRGRönd.
@undeRGRound. I was planning on doing bout $25 a week in pennies. This week obviously has been really busy, but I plan on getting back into it this week end. I like to change up my banks. I don’t want to go to the same one every time. I think that would make them mad. But I enjoy it and I only save money doing it. LOL. While all my friends are spending all of theirs. I also stack silver. Every week I get some. Weather it is a Dime or an ounce I get me some.
I wish I had a close LCS that always had small Silver in stock. I had a guy who was really close, but many times he was sold out entirely, or I bought him out entirely
Bad thing was, he was closed down He was out a lot, with health issues. Someone who works there bought some hot items. They shut him down COLD. Seized EVERYTHING. Except the shelves and display cases :( :(
My LCS literally gets pallets of silver. I always have a huge selection. On top of 90% I get Barber coins from them, ASE, Maples, Bars from 1 oz to kilo bars, they sell 90% by the bag, along with all sorts of gold, platinum and palladium. Next time I go I am going to buy a Peace Dollar. I need to have one for my collection. I don’t care really the quality, not completely worn, but nice. They never seem to run out. I am just waiting for them to start dealing in copper bullion.
This reply was modified 1 year, 7 months ago by silver-nut.
" Interesting video. Similar to the other one's I've watched over the last 3 years.
Looks like my idea of 90% and SAE's only is the way to go. It does have me thinking about some 10oz bars....wait, no.
And, this is all nice - but if the Ag market freaks out there's oth... "Reply To: Silver Shortage
" I dunno..... Look at ALL the sites selling the stuff and there's PLENTY to be had. Worrying about the doom of some article is silly. Get the stuff now, as you can, and just keep going.
IF things do go nuts I have a hunch it'll be so fast this time that it won't matter what order ... "Reply To: Silver Shortage
" The one CRITICAL thing is to make damned certain that the party you're shooting at is not your spouse, kid or anyone else who has a right to be there. That cleared in your brain, fire away! Have no mercy and take no prisoners. Prisoners will just sue you later. "Reply To: Finger off the trigger? Nonsense….
" Move away from the standard AR-15 ball rounds and move into soft point or ballistic tip and bump it to 60-70 grains. Penetration improves and tip makes expansion pretty drastic. Vmax rounds literally explode and the fragments will create a 5 inch diameter wound channel "Reply To: Real world firearms suggestions
" Muzzle flash will temporarily take your night vision, but, you have memorized your surroundings, and a good first shot may preclude the nesessity of a second. Should a second shot be nessessary, sound and memory will sufice. In your own home, you hold the high ground. Use our knowledge to your b... "Reply To: Finger off the trigger? Nonsense….
The analysis and discussion provided on SilverDoctors is for your education and entertainment only, it is not recommended for trading purposes. The Doc is not an investment adviser and information obtained here should not be taken for professional investment advice. The commentary on SilverDoctors reflects the opinions of The Doc and other contributing authors. Your own due diligence is recommended before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals. We do not share in your profits, and thus will not take responsibility for your losses as well.