I’d like to tie in the question how to deal with (somewhat) numismatic silver coins and bars. Do we need to swap those before the peak, or better after (presuming same price corrected for inflation)?
My simplistic idea is that approaching a price peak, premiums on everything will drop, making a proof 1oz .999 coin with certificate exactly as valueble as a beat up one that is still exactly one ounce. Both will go into the melting pot, as that’s what your silver is needed for. Apart from a few fools buying silver for investment at what later will be considered a top.
I also suppose the cash for silver places will become more competitive as prices skyrocket and people are reluctant to take a bad price. Yes, it would be good to know what was paid in 1980 (premium %) for .999 .925 .800 etc.
Our junk coins/artefacts stack, which moment to sell that? Before, on or after the peak?
Next time will be different from 1980 in some ways:
- Internet : anyone wanting to sell silver can look up where and for which price to do so. Current buy-back prices are somewhat inventoried, but this will likely improve. BTW, there is just a few % spread here in Europe between cheapest seller and best buyer.
- Possible (hyper)inflation coinciding with the nominal or relative peak? If inflation catches up with silver’s ascend…how long to wait?
- possibly a stock/real estate crash, something to keep an eye on. Crashes are buy signals. 1980 was far from a crash it seems?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_stock_market_crashes_and_bear_markets
Might want to not waste time and jump on the stock wagon (transition from Kondratieff winter to spring? – look it up). BTW, my current plan is to go into real estate directly out from silver. This happens to be in line with Kondratieff cycles. Hoping we’ll get a clear coinciding peak in silver and a bottom in either stocks or real estate. Where the latter 2 are located, doesn’t really matter much. If real estate in Eastern Europe happens to bottom…I’m in! Fertile land, good workers, preferable climate and landscape (I’m a winter guy)
I’ve tried to sell a few bars and coins on a craigslist kind of site, and it’s not easy to get a good price. Especially when you have numbers to sell.