Andrew Maguire Dissects 515 Ton Paper Gold Dump Prior to June FOMC Statement

Over the past year, SilverDoctors has documented several cartel raids in which the bullion banks dumped over an entire year’s global mining output in silver during paper raids.
Many have doubted the validity of these claims, as the official open interest reported by the CME the next day is often less than the reported volume of paper contracts dumped during the raid.

Andrew Maguire has released an excellent commentary dissecting the 515 ton paper ‘gold’ raid launched by the bullion banks immediately prior to the Fed’s release of the June FOMC statement.  Maguire clarifies how the cartel can accomplish the raid and yet not have the occurrence appear in the CME OI report.
Andy states that of the 165,000 paper gold contracts dumped on the market: Almost all these contracts were subsequently covered by the bullion bank into the days pit close thereby not showing up in the closing OI #.This is a standard MO.Through concentration, creating sufficient new supply at commonly watched pivots in a very short period of time to swamp any bids distorting true supply demand fundamentals, then once the momentum is turned down, to buy back all originating short positions into freshly pitched longs and a whole array of freshly invited new shorts.

Maguire continues:

Obviously, there is always a long for every short etc. but nevertheless the equivalent of 515 tons of paper gold was sold that would not have been sold had the bullion banks not used the power of their concentration to create sufficient supply to instigate and then game carefully orchestrated air pockets for the market to do the rest of the heavy lifting. This resulted in a stair step transference of COT shorts and was conducted at the expense of, (MM, spec’s and techs), initially by tripping longs stops, then drawing in fresh short supply on the breach of very obvious technical supports. (In this case with volume through the well watched 50 & 10 DMA’s).

These progressive breaches activated stair step knee jerk momentum selling and flipped the always present ‘neutral algo’s’, (as dissected in a prior MT commentary), over to a sell side bias. Guess who was on the other side of those trades profitably buying back the newly instigated supply? The daily downward move was then consolidated with a bearish close just below the 10DMA. (Bear in mind long or short stops are clearly visible to the 2 COT bullion banks identified in the OCC reports, concurrently holding the book on over 97% of all OTC gold and silver derivatives, a market 10 times the size of the Comex. These 2 COT banks also maintain concentrated short controlling positions in the futures markets).

Now, breaking down the footprints in more detail….

Preceding the pit selling, obvious spoofing was seen which given the signature footprints had to be from a COT algo and foreshadowed mal intent. If you recall from the MT post, we saw a very strong showing at the PM fix with large allocation sought in size, yet into the fix, we saw a block order of 10,000 GCQ contracts hitting all the bids for an $8 drop ahead of the fix followed by 35,000 contracts hitting all the bids for another $20 followed by a small $5 rise into the pit close where we saw large allocation sought at 1606. At this point, some short covering was seen, looking like a bottom likely drawing in some new longs, followed by another 30K selling tranche followed by the residuals over the remaining couple of hours. There was an obvious round off of short covering of around 50K seen into the pit close. This exercise resulted in an extremely profitable trade which also opened a window to repay/rebuy some previously underwater gold leases here in London.

Click here for the rest of Andrew Maguire’s analysis, and to join ‘Turd’s Army’ in fighting the cartel’s shenanigans

Comments

  1. What really pisses me off is the Cartel are just laughing in our faces and they are protected by our crooked politicians and the Elite. Grrrrrrrrrrr

  2. A very complex series of maneuvers.  Calling Sheriff Bart, you’re up..

    riiiight.

    *sigh*

  3. I am not new to silver I have been buying and saving for a long ,long time. I follow every article I have access to.I am finding it harder and harder to read these articles on what silver should be priced at. I have begun to believe that the manipulation will never be stopped as the fed (govt ) is behind the banks (manipulators) and we read these articles and believe them to no avail whatsoever. We are going to be the only losers as we will ride  the price up and down until it is too late for us to recoup. We cannot beat the banks(the like of JPMorgan) ever,so all your price forecasts are for not as I feel they will not happen,ever.  Thanks for listening to my opinion.  JP in Canada

  4. JP I can understand  your thoughts and feelings on the matter.  I have gone thru the same mental process and come up with similar views.  I have worked my way thru to realizing that we are not buying silver (or gold) to come out on top of the current financial system. Trying to do that is pointless for the reasons that you mentions.

    No, we are buying silver for the day that there is no longer a JPMorgue or Fed (and possibly no federal government of any note).  Only at that point will silver be valued correctly. 

    Will we ever see that day?  I am not certain.  If one is a Bible reader, the more likely outcome is a digital money system run by one single entity that promises to solve all of our problems.  At that point silver and gold will be outlawed and we will be called “traitorous horders” (btw check out who came up with that term – it will surprise you). 

    Having said all that, there will always be those who understand and seek the value of PMs and we will need to seek out and trade with those people.  Even if the system doesn’t evolve the way I think it will, the value of PMs against fiat over the long term still makes it worth accumulating.  As has been pointed out many times, in 1963 you could buy a gallon of gas with a quarter and you can still buy a gallon of gas today with the same 1963 quarter (and have change to spare).  That is the value of PMs whether they are manipulated or not.

    Just my 2 cents
    PhilAZ

  5. Well I believe it all ends when the physical allocated metal is drained from the LMBA and Comex.  The good news is that this is happening.  Per Jim Willie, China is raiding the western vaults on a daily basis.  Jim keeps mentioning 5000 metric tons of gold.  That seems like a huge number but his source has been spot on about other topics like interest rate swaps.  The Libor scandal of rates are a huge story for the metals.  Please watch Max Keiser’s new video about the Libor rate mess.




    Also, the leasing rates of the silver has been going up.  Harvey Organ does a fantastic job of keeping track of the leasing rates.  The higher the rate, the shorter the supply of silver.  It is starting to show tightness in the physical market.  This makes sense since the prices have been smashed so much and demand has stayed strong.  The supply is only for huge lots of silver not just your average coin purchase at a shop.  You can find silver but not in size.  Also, the net short position of JP Morgan has decreased in a huge way.  Silverdoctors is easily the best site when it comes to the COT report and keeping up to date of the net short positions.  What happens when JP Morgan goes neutral on their short position?  Do they give up suppressing the metals?  I can’t figure this out.  I think their next short positions are coordinated with the timing of the possible Comex default.  When JP Morgan goes neutral, expect a default on the Comex.  This is just a hunch and I have ZERO facts of this.  It just makes sense.  Then the Chinese will have a huge stake and control of the metals markets.  The timing is hard to figure out but the JP Morgan short position has decreased in dramatic way in a short amount of time.  At this rate, 2013 could be a realistic time table.

  6. Thanks for the reply PhilAz it is good to hear other peoples opinion rather than the pro’s on this topic. I have been buying silver for many reasons,one of which is appreciation of my capital. Protection of my financial position is another.It would be nice to be able to sell a few bars and enjoy some profit as this also is a reason for buying AG.I am in Canada so confiscation is not a consideration at this time. What bothers me the most is that the power houses ,the banks are getting away with all the manipulation. You (Americans) as a group should be lobbying your congress members to do something about it all. I spend part of my winters in Arizona (and love it) but cant believe how few people know anything about this topic at all. I talk about this problem with the local people and most of them don’t know what I am talking about.  A reply to duckvisions comments would be as long as JP Morgan can sell paper shorts in silver there will be no day of reckonning until someone insists on taking delivery of a huge amount, in which case it would have to be sometime in the future and they ( jpmorgan or the comex) would be able to get that amount together. There is no winning on the horizon as far as I can see.  The Silver Doctor site and the Silver Bear site are by far the most interesting to read.  I just don’t believe all the info from some American sources on Silver, I think their figures are just plain wrong.   Thanks for listening  JP up north

  7. duckvision   astutely says:
     Well I believe it all ends when the
    physical allocated metal is drained from the LMBA and Comex.  The good
    news is that this is happening. 

    The supply is
    only for huge lots of silver not just your average coin purchase at a
    shop.  You can find silver but not in size.  Also, the net short
    position of JP Morgan has decreased in a huge way.  …
     What happens when JP Morgan goes
    neutral on their short position?  Do they give up suppressing the
    metals?  I can’t figure this out.  I think their next short positions
    are coordinated with the timing of the possible Comex default.  When JP
    Morgan goes neutral, expect a default on the Comex.  This is just a
    hunch and I have ZERO facts of this.  It just makes sense. 

    I agree.   We are stuck with the manipulations until the physical runs out.  And JPM is going to make sure they are flat before that happens.    But like you say, they are working hard to get neutral.   I don’t think we are that far away.   Maybe 6 months.

  8. JP in Canada:

    Sometimes the most simple analysis is the best.  Just pull up a 10+ year chart on silver and smile.  The cartel is not winning the war, just many individual battles.  Meanwhile, the price of silver and gold remain considerably undervalued even though they both continue to rise (other than over the last few months).

    If you’ve been in the market for many years, you have all the more reason to smile.  Don’t let the bastards get you down.

  9. JP,

    Keep in mind that any stock or investment you allocate money to, there are going to be people/institutions/hedge funds that try to shake you out no matter what. This goes for anything that has a market.
    Imagine if you had your money in the TSX or SPX….. what a far more volatility crap shoot than silver will ever be. 
    Most of you seem to think that the only day of reckoning is if physical supplies drain. That is not true. Imagine what will happen after QE3 in Oct/Nov? Imagine what will happen when China’s reserves are at 50% gold.? Imagine what would happen in a doomsday ME Mega war or when banking panics start hitting US shores. One thing that isn’t being covered in the MSM are the vast amounts of Greeks, Spanish, and Italians buying physical silver and gold. I can’t wait until Greece leaves the Euro to only have the EU prop up the Euro and european banks after that initial shock with a massive 2 trillion injection….. you have to view all options holistically. It is so obvious that gold and silver are going to break to the upside the 2nd half of this year that I can’t believe it and hope I win the lottery before it does.
    My philosophy is that you can get on your knees and hit the floor or cry all you want but DON’T LET THEM SHAKE YOU OUT!
  10. Duckvision….. does a great job citing his sources….. very refreshing……… thanks and keep up the hardwork.

  11. JP-Canada.  I must agree with the excellent replies by PhilAZ, duckvision and ich1baN.  It is easy to loose faith because a system is rigged; however by the very same fact that the system is dishonest and rigged, it is doomed to failure.  Artificially manipulators of natural market forces of “Buyers and Sellers” are doomed to destruction.  It is not the metal that is destroyed.. the metal will skyrocket in response to the liquidation of the paper seller market, which uses its artificial weight in paper to drive down real prices of precious metals.  How can this liquidation occur?  Well there are many triggers to this Silver Gun, one of the biggest being Barricks 200 million ounce silver problem, as reported here on SD 2 weeks ago. (http://www.silverdoctors.com/barricks-200-million-ounce-silver-problem/).  Barrick owes 200m Ounces in futures, if they cant pay this back, it will detonate the Silver market, as reported in the article. SP

  12. JP all you need to know is the one constant throughout history is that all empires fall… and yes it could be a very long game!!! be prepared to pass the baton to your kids…

  13. The Libor scandal is very interesting and could be a potential black swan event.  So the Libor rate is the interest rate banks use to lend to each other.  The Libor rate (London Interbank Offered Rate) has been manipulated and controlled by the major banks. Barclays just got fined millions of dollars which is a joke.  They have been siphoning billions and they get fined millions.  Max Keiser said the Libor market pool is over 300 trillion dollars.  Libor controls interest rate swaps,currencies, loans, mortgages, and leasing rates.  Now, the manipulation in the metals happens because of naked shorts from JP Morgan but also from leasing rates.  This is why the Libor scandal is important to the metals. 

    This is from Harvey Organ:

    The
    following should also bring to light the gold manipulation as libor
    rates are critical in the determination of lease rates for gold.  The
    rigging was necessary to keep gold from going into backwardation as
    Europe and the USA went into ZIRP  (zero rate interest policy)

    This is from Jim Sinclair and posted by Hunkered Down last week:

    A major international financial auditing firm is currently involved in a
    massive project on Wall Street that presently has over 900+ consultants
    involved, which is massive and beyond even the size/scope of the Fannie
    Mae restatement several years ago. They’re grabbing any senior
    financial analyst and software expert that they can to help this
    “unnamed” major Wall Street bank calculate valuations for a suddenly
    devaluing portfolio of Credit Default Obligations that they have heavily
    invested in. This auditing firm is charging nearly double their normal
    billing rate and is getting it, no questions asked.

    This is from Jim Willie:

    The much juicier story pertains to 600 highly paid accountants on a Wall Street assignment.
    It is too large to be kept a secret, since it is draining the sector of
    its accounting staff for hire. The rumors are as thick as black clouds.
    They are busily attempting to determine the financial status of
    a large Wall Street bank loaded with a mountain of complex derivative
    contracts.

    I thought Jim Willie and Jim Sinclair was talking about the interest rate swaps but it’s the Libor scandal that is making the interest rates swaps show cracks.  This could literally take down Morgan Stanley.  I believe behind the scenes, there are some major problems going on.  This is why the leasing rates have been going up slowly which is showing tightness in the physical metal in size.  The Libor rates has been suppressing the leasing rates during this huge smash down of price in the metals.  It will be interesting to watch the leasing rates as the Libor scandal gets more exposed.  I believe if they keep smashing prices of the metal, the leasing rates will continue to go up in a big way.  Harvey Organ almost daily makes a point that the weak leaves can’t be shaken out of the silver tree.  They keep smashing prices but it’s not making the long’s pitch their contracts even during this huge spike down.  This is telling us that the longs are big time players and have huge amounts of capital behind their positions.  They can take a loss and just shake it off.  If the banks in London have a problem in the future to manipulate the Libor market and now JP Morgan short position is at all time lows, you could have a potential huge move in the metals.  JP Morgan going neutral in their shorts, Libor rate manipulation slows, and a possible default on the Comex and LMBA is all coordinated in timing.  All these factors can happen all at once and then the prices will shoot to the moon.  China will then control the metals market soon after with their exchanges ready to roll soon after the Comex and LMBA defaults.

    Like I said, I have no insider info and these are just thoughts.  It’s fun trying to put information together and try to figure this out.  If you have any thoughts, please post them.  I could be wrong on everything I just typed.  I am more then interested in hearing others opinions. 

  14. BANKING NEWS BLACKOUT?

    Considering all the crazy things going on with the banks world wide what happened to curent news on them? If you do any searches on the cyber attach, Bank Postal, NatWest, RBS, Bank Runs, JPM, Jamie Dimon, new is 3-4 days old. Witch is when the cyber attach happened.Doc posted the NatWest/RBS Glitch story on the 28th in french only? We heard of JPM 9 Billion loss, the Libor news and thats it. I wanted to know what was going on with bank runs & the cyber attach’s in europe but the is no up dates just all old news.
    What are thies storys not important? 
    MOVE ALONG NOW NOTHING TO SEE HERE!  
  15. The JP Morgan loss goes from 2billion to 9billion and will continue to go higher.  The problem with that IG-9 trade is that JP Morgan has to eat it and try to unwind their position.  It’s such a huge position and they are having problems limiting their exposure.  More and more losses will occur.   On Friday with a 277 pt move in the market, JP Morgan stock went down.  That was under reported.  Not only the loss of 9billion but they have taken a ass beating on their stock price.  That trade is toxic and will continue to wreck the stock price as the loss gets bigger. 

  16. ukpyscho…. very good point. JPCananda you need to re-avaulate why you are in the metals game. Me personally, I’m following the late Bob Chapman’s therory. Have an iron stomach and purchase physical when you can. JP, you might want to take some profits off the table and enjoy today. This great wealth transfer may never happen in our lifetime.  I personally believe in the PM’s. Co-existing in this fiat paper ponzi scheme is very frustrating. You said you’ve been in the metals for awhile, your dollar cost average should be pretty good. Don’t let the system get you down thats what they (cartel) wants. Good Luck to you…….

  17. Here is another story about the Libor scandal by Matt Taibbi from Rolling Stones.

    Another one bites the dust. The Royal Bank of Scotland is about to be fined $233 million (£150
    million pounds) for its role in the Libor-rigging scandal. It joins
    Barclays as the first banks to walk the plank in what should be, but so
    far is not, the most sensational financial corruption story since the
    crash of 2008.

    Many of the banks implicated in the Libor mess have also been
    targeted in the various municipal bond bid-rigging investigations, and
    RBS is no different – its subsidiary Natwest is also a defendant in the major civil lawsuit
    in the bid-rigging case. The cases aren’t related, except in the sense
    that they both involve manipulation and anticompetitive cooperation.
    It’s going to be harder and harder to make the case that the major banks
    do not routinely cooperate at the expense of the public when it serves
    their purposes to do so.

    The news that RBS is involved comes with a perverse twist. This is from the Times UK:

    The bank, which is 82 per cent owned by the taxpayer, is preparing
    for a political firestorm over the affair because it believes that it
    has no power to claw back bonuses from the traders responsible.
    Instead, the expected fines would be borne by the shareholders —
    largely the Government.

    Libor manipulation is a crime that already robs the public to create
    bonuses for bankers. By artificially lowering interest rates, the banks
    caused cities, towns, countries, and other public entities to receive
    smaller returns on their variable-rate investment holdings. If it turns
    out that taxpayers end up paying the fine for RBS’s crime of robbing
    taxpayers, how perfect would that be?

    So another bank gets fined.  This story was swept under the rug last week.  With the Obama care debate, EU so-called agreement, JP Morgan 9billion dollar loss,  the Libor gate scandal  should have been front and center.  I said the market cap was 300 trillion.  It’s actually 350 trillion.  Sorry, I short changed this fraud of a market.  I’m sure it’s no big deal.  Only the largest banks of the world has been in the manipulation of the Libor rates.  Move on, nothing to see here.

  18. Thanks guys for all the info and encouragement. I have never stopped adding to my hoard.  When it was in the 40′s I did lighten up but since have added all the new series of  wolf, bear, cougar  and moose silver dollars,. We can buy from the mint and dealers and there is not much difference in price and now some of these silver dollars have appreciated in coin value also. When I was in Az last winter I bought some old US silver dollars.All in all I am hooked and can’t see changing. Rule changes and using silver as currency again as Mexico is contemplating  with fluctuating values of silver coins may make a large difference also. Keep in touch      JP

  19. Another great read on zerohedge about Libor gate.  This story is going to blow up. 

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/bank-england-about-be-dragged-lie-borgate-and-which-us-bank-next

    A little piece of the article:

    If, and this is a big if, the SEC does for once do
    something proactive in its illustrious career of corrupt, incompetent
    complacency and co-option, not to mention pornoholic hypnosis, the next
    and final question becomes: will it be Bank of America, or JP Morgan…
    and just how will the market react to the knowledge that two of the
    world’s biggest non-nationalized banks participated in what as many have
    been warning for years, the biggest market manipulation fraud in
    history.

    I believe it’s going to be Morgan Stanley or Deutschebank.  There collateral and capital is much lower then BOA and JP Morgan.  Morgan Stanley has over 50 trillion in swaps.  Jim Willie said Morgan Stanley increased their swaps by 8 trillion this year alone.  Morgan Stanley’s stock has been hit hard this year and it’s exposing their weakness.  Deutschebank has a huge derivative book and I believe this is why Merkel could cave in with the bailouts for the EU.  If Merkel allows Greece, Spain, Italy to default, it could spark all these derivatives and swaps.  Deutschebank would go down instantly if this happens.  Germany can’t have that happen.  Merkel keeps saying she is against the eurobonds and bailouts but she also understands the exposure of the major banks in the sovereign bonds and derivatives.  Tough call on the EU but I’m starting to believe Germany is in a no win situation.  They will be forced to bailout Greece, Spain and Italy again and again.  Merkel’s re-election campaign will be done.  That is why we are seeing these baby bailouts like the Spain deal of 125 billion.  This isn’t close to what the banks in Spain needs to recap their banks.  Mark Grant has said 350-400 billion euros will be needed to recap the Spanish banks.  They will just keep the bailouts coming in short amounts.  I don’t think we will see a bazooka bailout.  Politically, that would be suicide and it would also be very inflationary.  Anyways, this Libor gate scandal ties in everything with the derivatives, interest rate swaps, loans, bailouts, and central bank interventions.  It goes into the core of the manipulation of the global financial world.  This is a huge story IMO.

  20. JP,

    When TSHTF it’s not much going to matter. The Fiat will be gone and you will be king of your own future with the silver you have stacked. Done. Finished. Bitmished. Period.

  21. JP

    I hear ya !

    The cognitive dissonance that can  come from trying to figure out what the f**k is going on in the minds of the bastards that currently run this planet and what their gonna come up with next to keep us enslaved can be very taxing on ones mind.

    It’s pretty clear that you’re a critical thinker and that gives you an edge over the masses.    Trust your gut instincts and never forget why you started stackin and you’ll come out of this grand human experiment OK.

    On a lighter note…..

    Happy Canada Day! from the west coast of the greatest country on earth.  

     

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